DXY Rises for 3rd Day

2026-09-11 12:41 By Agna Gabriel 1 min. read

The dollar index rose above 99 on Friday, extending gains for the third session, after US inflation data strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week.

Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.3% in August from the previous month, slightly above expectations, while the annual rate rose 2.4%, in line with forecasts and the lowest since March 2021.

Headline consumer prices increased 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% from a year earlier, reflecting higher energy costs.

The data suggested that inflation remains persistent amid elevated oil prices, tariffs and continued investment in data centres.

Markets subsequently priced in around a 90% probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s September 15-16 meeting.

Meanwhile, oil prices remain a key concern, having recently moved above $100 a barrel as Middle East and Russia-Ukraine conflicts disrupt supplies.



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DXY Rises for 3rd Day
The dollar index rose above 99 on Friday, extending gains for the third session, after US inflation data strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.3% in August from the previous month, slightly above expectations, while the annual rate rose 2.4%, in line with forecasts and the lowest since March 2021. Headline consumer prices increased 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% from a year earlier, reflecting higher energy costs. The data suggested that inflation remains persistent amid elevated oil prices, tariffs and continued investment in data centres. Markets subsequently priced in around a 90% probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s September 15-16 meeting. Meanwhile, oil prices remain a key concern, having recently moved above $100 a barrel as Middle East and Russia-Ukraine conflicts disrupt supplies.
2026-09-11
Dollar Holds Gains Ahead of CPI Report
The dollar index held above 99 on Friday after rebounding in the previous session, as investors prepared for the latest US consumer price index report that could cement bets for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data released Thursday showed US producer inflation accelerated last month as the Iran war pushed wholesale energy prices higher. Markets are now pricing in roughly a 71% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate increase next week, up from 61% before the PPI data. Treasury yields also jumped after the US Treasury Department's first expanded buyback operation yielded lower-than-expected purchases. Meanwhile, oil prices surged above $100 a barrel as the US and Iran showed little indication of backing down from the conflict, raising concerns over prolonged disruptions to global energy supplies and persistent inflationary pressures.
2026-09-11
USD Appreciates on Thursday
The dollar index rose to 99 on Thursday, as another rally in oil prices amid escalating hostilities between the US and Iran prompted investors to increase bets on a Fed rate hike next week. Markets are now pricing a 70% chance of a 25bps increase, up from 60% yesterday, while a hike is fully priced in for October. Meanwhile, the PPI report did little to alter expectations for a Fed hike, but confirmed that energy prices continued to fuel inflationary pressures. Headline producer inflation accelerated to 0.4% mom while core PPI rose 0.2% mom, below both the previous month’s 0.3% increase and forecasts of 0.3%. The CPI report on Friday will be key in assessing the outlook for price pressures. Elsewhere, the ECB raised borrowing costs by 25bps as expected and lifted its inflation forecasts.
2026-09-10