United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index  Forecast 2016-2020

Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States is expected to be 0.09 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States to stand at 0.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index is projected to trend around 0.05 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index
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Calendar GMT Forecasts Consensus
2017-09-25 12:30 PM Aug/2017 5 0.13 Add Your Forecast
2017-10-23 12:30 PM Sep/2017 5 0.23 Add Your Forecast
2017-11-21 01:30 PM Oct/2017 5 0.27 Add Your Forecast





United States Business Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Business Confidence 56.3 52.4 51.5 52 52.3 52
Manufacturing PMI 52.5 53.8 53 52.7 52.9 53
Non Manufacturing PMI 53.9 57.5 54.81 57.2 57.3 54.83
Services PMI 56.9 52.4 52.7 52.9 53 54.8
Composite Pmi 56 53.8 52 52.4 52.7 55.1
Industrial Production 2.2 2 3 2.4 1.9 1.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2
Manufacturing Production 1.2 2.1 2 1.7 1.7 1.9
Capacity Utilization 76.7 75.9 76 76.4 76.6 78
Durable Goods Orders 6.5 0.3 -1.2 0.38 0.33 0.4
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 6.7 0.28 0.62 0.36 0.31 0.31
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.19 0.19 0.1
Factory Orders Ex Transportation -0.2 0.09 0.2 0.24 0.25 0.26
New Orders 481081 478350 478614 478894 479035 479130
Factory Orders 3 0.4 -0.5 0.32 0.28 0.2
Business Inventories 0.5 0.1 -0.8 0.15 0.2 0.2
Changes in Inventories -0.3 21.2 65.2 14 7.5 75
Wholesale Inventories 0.7 0.1 0.4 -0.1 0.2 0.2
Bankruptcies 23443 23547 23480 23666 23672 23784
Corporate Profits 1567 1571 1589 1576 1584 1581
NFIB Business Optimism Index 105 101 95 94 97 97
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 18.9 12 9 8 10 6.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 14 6 4 3 6 3
Ism New York Index 62.8 57.43 57.62 57.84 57.82 57.79
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 25.2 9 8 7 9 5
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 16.8 14.3 14 15 14.5 2
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.01 0.09 0.05 0.2 0.2 0.05
Chicago Pmi 58.9 55 54 53 53.5 59.82
Total Vehicle Sales 16.77 15 14 18 18 18.7
Car Production 2.62 3.86 3.61 3.89 3.89 4.04
Car Registrations 503 563 543 551 554 549
Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.33 1 -0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Natural Gas Stocks Change 53 6.34 4.74 4.68 4.67 4.67
Gasoline Stocks Change -1223 -2.97 15.3 15.32 15.32 15.32
Leading Economic Index 182 182 183 183 183 185
Small Business Sentiment 51.67 52.71 52.53 53.49 54.78 54.76
Steel Production 6707 6400 6470 6675 6637 7150
Mining Production 10.2 10.8 2 7 6.4 1
Ease of Doing Business 8 7 7 6 6 6
Competitiveness Index 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.71 5.73 5.69
Competitiveness Rank 3 3 3 3 3 3
Corruption Index 74 75.5 75.5 75.5 75.5 75.5
Corruption Rank 18 16 16 16 16 16