United States Average Monthly Prime Lending Rate  Forecast 2016-2020

Bank Lending Rate in the United States is expected to be 4.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in the United States to stand at 4.25 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Average Monthly Prime Lending Rate is projected to trend around 5.25 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Average Monthly Prime Lending Rate
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Forecast Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020 Unit
Bank Lending Rate 4.13 4 4.15 4.15 4.25 5.25 percent
United States Average Monthly Prime Lending Rate Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Average Monthly Prime Lending Rate using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Average Monthly Prime Lending Rate - was last predicted on Wednesday, July 26, 2017.



United States Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 93.1 95 94 94 94.5 86.7
Retail Sales MoM -0.2 0.3 0.2 0.28 0.28 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 2.8 3.1 3.2 2.9 2.7 4
Retail Sales Ex Autos -0.2 0.21 0.29 0.29 0.3 0.3
Consumer Spending 11701 11819 11862 11912 11956 12292
Disposable Personal Income 14490 14636 14747 14858 14968 16068
Personal Spending 0.1 0.32 0.4 0.31 0.31 0.5
Personal Income 0.4 0.32 0.6 0.31 0.31 0.31
Personal Savings 5.5 5.36 5.36 5.37 5.37 5.37
Consumer Credit 18.4 17.17 17.13 17.14 17.14 17.14
Private Sector Credit 9251 9328 9403 9474 9541 10049
Bank Lending Rate 4.13 4 4.15 4.15 4.25 5.25
Economic Optimism Index 50.2 50.09 49.95 49.9 49.88 49.87
Redbook Index 2.1 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.19 2.19
Gasoline Prices 0.6 0.59 0.57 0.57 0.56 0.54
Households Debt To Gdp 79.5 79.5 80 80.2 80.3 82.6
Chain Store Sales 4514 4757 4790 4782 4784 4783