US 10-Year Yield Holds Firm After Fed Decision

2026-04-30 02:38 By Jam Kaimo Samonte 1 min. read

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held around 4.42% on Thursday, hovering at more than one-month highs after the Federal Reserve left its policy rate unchanged as expected but delivered a more hawkish message amid rising inflation concerns.

Four policymakers dissented from the decision, arguing the Fed should no longer signal any bias toward easing, highlighting growing internal divisions over the policy outlook as uncertainty rises due to the Iran conflict.

Markets have now fully priced out expectations of Fed rate cuts this year, while beginning to assign some probability to a potential hike in 2027.

Inflation risks tied to the Middle East conflict also supported Treasury yields, after President Donald Trump said the US would maintain its naval blockade on Iran until a nuclear agreement is reached, while Tehran accused Washington of attempting to force Iran into surrender through economic pressure and internal political fragmentation.



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US 10-Year Yield Holds Firm After Fed Decision
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held around 4.42% on Thursday, hovering at more than one-month highs after the Federal Reserve left its policy rate unchanged as expected but delivered a more hawkish message amid rising inflation concerns. Four policymakers dissented from the decision, arguing the Fed should no longer signal any bias toward easing, highlighting growing internal divisions over the policy outlook as uncertainty rises due to the Iran conflict. Markets have now fully priced out expectations of Fed rate cuts this year, while beginning to assign some probability to a potential hike in 2027. Inflation risks tied to the Middle East conflict also supported Treasury yields, after President Donald Trump said the US would maintain its naval blockade on Iran until a nuclear agreement is reached, while Tehran accused Washington of attempting to force Iran into surrender through economic pressure and internal political fragmentation.
2026-04-30
Treasury Yields Hit New 4-Week High After Fed
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose about 7bps to 4.42% on Wednesday, a new high in roughly a month, as investors reacted to the latest FOMC decision. The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged, as expected, but the decision was not unanimous, with three members dissenting over language suggesting the central bank could eventually resume rate cuts. This was seen as a more hawkish signal, with traders now pricing in roughly a one-in-three chance of a rate hike by April 2027. Short-term Treasury yields, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes, rose more sharply, particularly the 2-year yield, which climbed above 3.95%. Meanwhile, the Fed noted the war in Iran is weighing on the economic outlook and oil prices continued to rise, with President Trump saying the US would keep its naval blockade on Iran in place until it agrees to a nuclear deal.
2026-04-29
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Continues to Rise, Fed Awaited
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose for a third straight session to 4.39% on Wednesday, the highest level in over a month, as investors awaited the Fed’s monetary policy decision later in the day. Oil prices also continued to climb, with no signs of a near-term agreement between the US and Iran to end the conflict and reopen the Strait. While the Fed is widely expected to keep the federal funds rate unchanged, attention will focus on updated guidance, the economic outlook, and the impact of the conflict on policy prospects. Meanwhile, the Justice Department said it would halt its criminal investigation into Powell, removing a key hurdle to the Senate’s confirmation of his nominated successor, Kevin Warsh.
2026-04-29