US 10Y Yield Holds Decline

2026-04-14 02:41 By Jam Kaimo Samonte 1 min. read

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note remained near recent lows at around 4.29% on Tuesday, as expectations for continued US-Iran negotiations helped ease inflation concerns.

While talks over the weekend failed to produce an agreement, prompting President Donald Trump to announce a blockade targeting Iranian oil shipments, he later indicated that Tehran had made contact and is seeking to resume discussions.

Hopes for a longer-term ceasefire and a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz weighed on oil prices, reducing inflationary pressures and dialing back hawkish expectations for Federal Reserve policy.

Meanwhile, Fed Governor Stephen Miran said the energy shock stemming from the Iran conflict has yet to feed into longer-term inflation expectations, adding that he expects price pressures to return to the central bank’s target within a year.



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US 10Y Yield Holds Decline
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note remained near recent lows at around 4.29% on Tuesday, as expectations for continued US-Iran negotiations helped ease inflation concerns. While talks over the weekend failed to produce an agreement, prompting President Donald Trump to announce a blockade targeting Iranian oil shipments, he later indicated that Tehran had made contact and is seeking to resume discussions. Hopes for a longer-term ceasefire and a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz weighed on oil prices, reducing inflationary pressures and dialing back hawkish expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Stephen Miran said the energy shock stemming from the Iran conflict has yet to feed into longer-term inflation expectations, adding that he expects price pressures to return to the central bank’s target within a year.
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2026-04-13
US 10Y Yield Rises as US-Iran Talks Fail
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note climbed to around 4.35% on Monday, reversing last week’s decline as escalating tensions in the Middle East heightened inflationary pressures. President Donald Trump announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after weekend peace talks between the US and Iran ended without an agreement. Vice President JD Vance left Islamabad without securing a deal with Iranian counterparts, citing their refusal to halt efforts to pursue nuclear weapons, while Tehran reportedly demanded control of the Strait of Hormuz, war reparations, and the release of frozen assets. The effective shutdown of the key shipping route has pushed energy prices higher and intensified inflation risks, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts or even consider rate hikes.
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