US 10-Year Yield Edges Higher

2026-02-19 03:02 By Jam Kaimo Samonte 1 min. read

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note climbed toward 4.1% on Thursday, rising for the third consecutive session as strong US economic data and hawkish signals from the Fed lifted yields.

Minutes from the Fed’s last meeting showed policymakers were split on the trajectory for US rates, with several participants favoring language that would have explicitly left open the option of raising the federal funds rate if inflation remained above target.

Traders slightly trimmed expectations for Fed rate cuts this year but still see two 25 bps reductions before year-end.

Recent data also highlighted robust US activity, with industrial production posting its largest increase in nearly a year, core capital goods orders surpassing forecasts, and housing starts reaching a five-month high.

Investors now look ahead to jobless claims, PCE inflation, and GDP reports for further guidance on the rate outlook.

Meanwhile, the Treasury Department’s $16 billion sale of 20-year bonds saw weak demand.



News Stream
US 10-Year Yield Edges Higher
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note climbed toward 4.1% on Thursday, rising for the third consecutive session as strong US economic data and hawkish signals from the Fed lifted yields. Minutes from the Fed’s last meeting showed policymakers were split on the trajectory for US rates, with several participants favoring language that would have explicitly left open the option of raising the federal funds rate if inflation remained above target. Traders slightly trimmed expectations for Fed rate cuts this year but still see two 25 bps reductions before year-end. Recent data also highlighted robust US activity, with industrial production posting its largest increase in nearly a year, core capital goods orders surpassing forecasts, and housing starts reaching a five-month high. Investors now look ahead to jobless claims, PCE inflation, and GDP reports for further guidance on the rate outlook. Meanwhile, the Treasury Department’s $16 billion sale of 20-year bonds saw weak demand.
2026-02-19
US 10-Year Yield Holds Rebound
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2026-02-18
Treasury Yields Rise for 2nd Session
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose nearly 2 basis points to 4.08% on Wednesday, marking its first back-to-back increase since the start of the month, as investors digested strong economic data and awaited the release of the FOMC minutes later in the day. December housing starts and building permits exceeded forecasts, signalling improved builder confidence at year-end. Meanwhile, durable goods orders fell less than expected, and core capital goods orders rose a stronger-than-anticipated 0.6%. Investors are also looking to the minutes from the Fed’s January meeting for further insight after policymakers struck a more hawkish tone. Money markets are currently pricing in 57 basis points of rate cuts this year, equivalent to two quarter-point reductions and roughly a 30% chance of a third.
2026-02-18