10-Year Treasury Yield Edges Down on Friday

2026-04-17 11:47 By Joana Taborda 1 min. read

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged down to around 4.3% on Friday, as investors grew more optimistic that a deal between the US and Iran could be reached in the near term.

US President Trump said it is “looking very good” that an agreement is within reach, adding that talks may resume over the weekend.

He also claimed, without providing evidence, that Iran had agreed to terms it has previously resisted.

Geopolitical tensions showed tentative signs of easing, with Israel and Lebanon agreeing to a 10-day ceasefire.

However, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, keeping oil prices elevated above $90 per barrel, roughly one-third higher since the conflict began in late February.

Against this backdrop, market expectations for monetary policy have shifted.

Traders now anticipate the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady through 2026, a notable change from earlier expectations of two rate cuts before the conflict escalated.



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10-Year Treasury Yield Edges Down on Friday
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged down to around 4.3% on Friday, as investors grew more optimistic that a deal between the US and Iran could be reached in the near term. US President Trump said it is “looking very good” that an agreement is within reach, adding that talks may resume over the weekend. He also claimed, without providing evidence, that Iran had agreed to terms it has previously resisted. Geopolitical tensions showed tentative signs of easing, with Israel and Lebanon agreeing to a 10-day ceasefire. However, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, keeping oil prices elevated above $90 per barrel, roughly one-third higher since the conflict began in late February. Against this backdrop, market expectations for monetary policy have shifted. Traders now anticipate the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady through 2026, a notable change from earlier expectations of two rate cuts before the conflict escalated.
2026-04-17
US 10-Year Yield Holds Advance
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note remained above 4.3% on Friday after advancing for two consecutive sessions, as still-elevated oil prices kept inflation risks in focus even as growth concerns tempered sentiment. Markets have now shifted to pricing in the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady through the year, compared with earlier expectations of two rate cuts by year-end. Fed Bank of New York President John Williams also said the Middle East conflict is already contributing to inflationary pressures, while noting the central bank remains well positioned to respond to changing economic conditions. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump expressed confidence that the war with Iran will end soon, saying Tehran had agreed to terms including abandoning nuclear ambitions and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trump also announced a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, which could support further US-Iran talks.
2026-04-17
US 10Y Yield Steadies as Iran Talks Take Focus
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note steadied around 4.28% on Thursday after experiencing elevated volatility earlier in the week amid growing optimism that the US and Iran could find a diplomatic solution to end the war. President Donald Trump said the seven-week conflict was “close to over,” while the White House expressed confidence in a potential agreement, noting that additional in-person talks were likely to take place again in Pakistan. Reports also indicated that Tehran could consider allowing free passage for ships via the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz if a deal is reached to prevent renewed escalation. Earlier in the week, Treasury yields eased as declining energy prices helped reduce inflation concerns and scaled back expectations of further central bank tightening. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged this month and potentially through the remainder of the year.
2026-04-16