Steel rebar futures held steady around CNY 3,140 per tonne, hovering near seven-week highs after data showed Chinese steel output fell 3.6% to about 160 million tons in the first two months of the year as mills curtailed production to offset weak demand. The period also marks a seasonal slowdown for steelmakers due to the Lunar New Year holiday and pollution controls ahead of annual legislative meetings in March. China’s steel sector has been in structural decline as the country’s economy matures, leading to reduced construction activity, further worsened by the prolonged property crisis. Earlier this month, economic planners at the National People's Congress signaled plans for orderly reductions in steel capacity. Beijing made similar pledges during the 2025 policy meetings, though the results were mixed. The country’s steel output fell below 1 billion tons last year for the first time since 2019, although some analysts questioned the reliability of the official figures.
Steel rose to 3,148 CNY/T on March 20, 2026, up 0.48% from the previous day. Over the past month, Steel's price has risen 3.79%, but it is still 0.25% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Steel reached an all time high of 6198.00 in May of 2021. Steel - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on March 22 of 2026.
Steel rose to 3,148 CNY/T on March 20, 2026, up 0.48% from the previous day. Over the past month, Steel's price has risen 3.79%, but it is still 0.25% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Steel is expected to trade at 3143.98 Yuan/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3005.71 in 12 months time.