Steel rebar futures in China fell to CNY 3,100 per tonne after testing five-month highs of CNY 3,160 on January 29th, pressured by the recent decline in industrial metals as markets reconsidered speculative trades. Still, evidence that demand may have bottomed and efforts by Beijing to cap overcapacity maintained contracts above the flatline this year. China reportedly exempted major developers from submitting data that previously aimed to limit their access to leverage. Such a move would increase accessibility of loans and limit short-term liquidity risks for stressed constructors, improving the outlook for rebar-intensive projects. Meanwhile, the latest official data reflected a rebound in Chinese construction activity in December following four periods of contraction. Meanwhile, evidence from the World Steel Organization indicated a drop in global supply in 2025, led by cuts in China amid their anti-involution campaign.
Steel rose to 3,092 CNY/T on February 4, 2026, up 0.06% from the previous day. Over the past month, Steel's price has risen 0.78%, but it is still 5.10% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Steel reached an all time high of 6198 in May of 2021. Steel - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on February 4 of 2026.
Steel rose to 3,092 CNY/T on February 4, 2026, up 0.06% from the previous day. Over the past month, Steel's price has risen 0.78%, but it is still 5.10% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Steel is expected to trade at 3100.42 Yuan/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 2977.81 in 12 months time.