Euro Area Bank Lending Rate - Forecast

Bank Lending Rate in Euro Area is expected to be 2.12 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Bank Lending Rate in Euro Area to stand at 2.12 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Euro Area Bank Lending Rate is projected to trend around 2.62 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Euro Area Bank Lending Rate
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Euro Area Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence -0.5 -0.5 -2.6 -2.2 -1.8 -6.6
Retail Sales MoM 0.1 0.4 0.9 -0.4 0.5 0.5
Retail Sales YoY 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.5 2.7
Consumer Spending 1413 1416 1421 1440 1438 1508
Disposable Personal Income 1733153 1760000 1780000 1810000 1830000 1980000
Personal Savings 12.21 11 10.9 10.9 10.8 10.5
Private Sector Credit 13284635 13400000 13600000 13800000 14000000 15400000
Bank Lending Rate 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.84
Consumer Credit 665996 686000 692000 705000 709000 732000
Economic Optimism Index 112 111 109 110 110 108
Households Debt To Gdp 58 57 57 57 55 53.7
Households Debt To Income 93.6 90.5 90.5 90.5 88.9 87.1
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -5.3 1.8 2.12 2.3 2.41 2.54
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -0.5 2.43 2.45 2.46 2.46 2.46
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations -0.7 -0.46 -0.45 -0.45 -0.45 -0.45
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -17.3 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 17.5 15.8 16.7 18 17.2 15
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -3.5 -3.86 -3.86 -3.86 -3.86 -3.86
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 0.6 -2.77 -3.36 -2.79 -3.36 -2.81