China Total Social Financing - Forecast

Loans to Private Sector in China is expected to be 15235.97 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Loans to Private Sector in China to stand at 14398.94 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Total Social Financing is projected to trend around 14422.96 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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China Money Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.5 4.5 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 15.5 16 16 15 15 15
Interbank Rate 2.89 2.89 2.89 3.04 3.04 4.04
Money Supply M0 6953 7001 6986 6969 6954 6804
Money Supply M1 53662 55081 56148 57190 58217 67728
Money Supply M2 177620 180307 183783 187308 190837 225606
Central Bank Balance Sheet 363283 362905 364784 366835 368837 385024
Banks Balance Sheet 1450 1240 1252 1259 1259 1259
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3118000 3096488 3085102 3075404 3066639 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 10400 15236 14699 14388 14399 14423
Deposit Interest Rate 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.5 0.5 1.5
Loan Growth 13.2 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.4 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.55 2.6 2.6 2.65 2.65 3.5
Loans To Banks 1301207 1321959 1359775 1396771 1433877 1800637
Fixed Asset Investment 5.5 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.2