China Total Social Financing - Forecast

Loans to Private Sector in China is expected to be 16177.75 CNY HML by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Loans to Private Sector in China to stand at 15820.87 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Total Social Financing is projected to trend around 15819.59 CNY HML in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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China Money Last Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 14.5 14.5 14.5 14 14 13
Interbank Rate 2.93 2.93 3.08 3.08 3.08 4.08
Money Supply M0 7130 7032 7029 7014 6999 6866
Money Supply M1 53860 54662 55324 55965 56585 61316
Money Supply M2 180170 183630 187140 190651 194154 225231
Central Bank Balance Sheet 366230 368656 371487 374282 376986 397486
Banks Balance Sheet 1380 1350 1290 1291 1291 1291
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3087025 3064306 3046661 3032122 3019363 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 22100 16178 15287 15692 15821 15820
Deposit Interest Rate 0.35 0.35 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5
Loan Growth 13.2 13 12.5 12.4 13.1 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.55 2.6 2.65 2.65 2.65 3.5
Loans To Banks 1313907 1364125 1402295 1440491 1478586 1818102
Fixed Asset Investment 5.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 5.44 6.2