China Three Month Interbank Rate - Forecast

Interbank Rate in China is expected to be 4.83 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Interbank Rate in China to stand at 4.28 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Three Month Interbank Rate is projected to trend around 4.08 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


China Three Month Interbank Rate
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China Money Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.6 4.6 4.85 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 17 17 17 17 18 20
Interbank Rate 5.17 4.83 4.59 4.41 4.28 4.08
Money Supply M0 7060 6951 6956 6947 6936 6853
Money Supply M1 54380 55217 55472 55536 55538 55340
Money Supply M2 167680 169518 170983 172093 172901 173523
Central Bank Balance Sheet 362932 368519 370808 371616 371758 367219
Banks Balance Sheet 584 755 711 690 673 634
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3139949 3163473 3177198 3183425 3184446 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 11400 11493 11122 10649 10251 9088
Deposit Interest Rate 1.5 1.64 1.71 1.77 1.84 3.5
Loan Growth 12.7 12.5 12.4 14.61 12.2 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.5 2.7 2.75 2.75 2.85 3.5
Loans To Banks 1196900 1218179 1235693 1250102 1261647 1238930
Fixed Asset Investment 7.2 7.6 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.2