China Fixed Investment Growth Below Forecasts

China’s fixed-asset investment fell by 7.2% year-on-year in the January-September 2026 period, matching the decline recorded in the first eight months of the year but slightly less than market forecasts for a 7.3% drop. Property investment remained the biggest drag, plunging 20.6% compared with a 19.9% decline in January-August, amid subdued housing demand, declining property prices, and ongoing financing challenges for developers. Infrastructure investment contracted further (-4.2% vs -4%), while manufacturing investment fell at a slower pace (-2.1% vs -2.3%). Investment also continued to decline across all three sub-industries: primary industry (-3.9% vs -2.4%), secondary industry (-2.7% vs -2.9%), and tertiary industry (-10% vs -9.9%). Excluding the property sector, fixed-asset investment decreased by 4.2% in the first nine months of the year, unchanged from its drop in January-August. Monthly, fixed-asset investment edged up by 0.07% in September, after a 0.55% fall in August.

China’s fixed-asset investment declined by 7.2% year-on-year in the January-August 2026 period, matching market expectations and following a 6.7% drop in the first seven months of the year. Property investment remained the biggest drag, slumping 19.9% (vs -19.2% in January-July), amid weak housing demand, falling home prices and persistent financing constraints among developers. Investment in infrastructure (-4% vs -3.6%) and manufacturing (-2.3% vs -1.7%) also dropped further. Investment also continued to fall across all three major industries: the primary sector (-2.4% vs -0.5%), the secondary sector (-2.9% vs -2.1%), and the tertiary sector (-9.9% vs -9.5%). Excluding the property sector, fixed-asset investment fell by 4.2% in the first eight months of the year, after a 3.7% decline in January-July. On a monthly basis, fixed-asset investment decreased by 0.5% in August, slowing from a 1.37% drop in July.

China’s fixed-asset investment dropped by 6.7% year-on-year in the January to July 2026 period, worse than market expectations for a 6.2% fall and the 5.7% decline recorded in the first half of the year. Property investment remained the biggest drag, plunging 19.2% after an 18% decline in January-June, while infrastructure investment (-3.6% vs -2.4%) and manufacturing investment (-1.7% vs -1.2%) also decreased. Among industries, investment in the primary sector decreased 0.5% after rising 0.9%, while investment in the secondary sector (-2.1% vs -1.1%) and in the tertiary sector (-9.5% vs -8.4%) fell at a faster pace. Excluding the property sector, fixed-asset investment was down by 3.7% in January-July, slipping further from a 2.7% drop in the first six months of the year. On a monthly basis, fixed-asset investment decreased by 1.42% in July, accelerating from a 0.37% fall in the preceding period.