South Africa's one-year-ahead inflation expectations for households fell for the fourth quarter to an all-time low of 3.6% in Q1 2026, from 3.7% in Q4 2025. Inflation Expectations in South Africa averaged 5.77 percent from 2000 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 8.72 percent in the third quarter of 2008 and a record low of 3.60 percent in the first quarter of 2026. source: Bureau for Economic Research (BER)



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2025-12-12 09:30 AM
Inflation Expectations
Q4 3.8% 4.2% 4.1%
2026-03-16 09:00 AM
Inflation Expectations
Q1 3.6% 3.7% 4.0%
2026-07-02 08:30 AM
Inflation Expectations
Q2 3.6%


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Consumer Price Index CPI 104.20 103.80 points Feb 2026
Core Consumer Prices 104.30 103.60 points Feb 2026
Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.00 3.40 percent Feb 2026
Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.70 0.30 percent Feb 2026
CPI Housing Utilities 104.90 104.90 points Feb 2026
CPI Transportation 99.10 99.90 points Feb 2026
Export Prices 195.90 190.70 points Dec 2025
Food Inflation 3.70 4.40 percent Feb 2026
Import Prices 167.10 172.10 points Dec 2025
Inflation Expectations 3.60 3.70 percent Mar 2026
Inflation Rate YoY 3.00 3.50 percent Feb 2026
Inflation Rate MoM 0.40 0.20 percent Feb 2026
PPI MoM -0.20 0.20 percent Jan 2026
Producer Prices 103.40 103.60 points Jan 2026
PPI YoY 2.20 2.90 percent Jan 2026


South Africa Inflation Expectations
In South Africa, inflation expectations refer to one year ahead expected inflation rate. The expectations are based on the survey of four social groups namely analysts, business people, senior representatives of trade unions and households.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.60 3.70 8.72 3.60 2000 - 2026 percent Quarterly
NSA