Business confidence in Hong Kong fell to -5 in Q2 2026 from -3 in the previous period, marking the weakest reading in three quarters. The share of respondents expecting a better business condition was unchanged at 11% from Q1 2026, while those expecting a worse outcome rose to 16% from 14%. Deterioration was most evident in accommodation and food services (-35), where significantly more respondents expected a weaker business situation, lower output, and reduced employment. Construction also remained subdued (-21), with expectations skewed toward weaker activity and notably lower selling prices. In contrast, financing and insurance (+12) saw more respondents expecting an improved business situation and higher output. Selling price expectations were broadly stable to higher across most sectors, particularly in import/export trade and wholesale, where more firms expected increases, while construction stood out with significantly more respondents expecting lower tender prices. source: Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong

Business Confidence in Hong Kong decreased to -5 points in the second quarter of 2026 from -3 points in the first quarter of 2026. Business Confidence in Hong Kong averaged 3.41 points from 2006 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 32.00 points in the third quarter of 2006 and a record low of -53.00 points in the first quarter of 2009. This page provides - Hong Kong Business Confidence - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Hong Kong Business Confidence - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on April of 2026.

Business Confidence in Hong Kong decreased to -5 points in the second quarter of 2026 from -3 points in the first quarter of 2026. Business Confidence in Hong Kong is expected to be 1.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Hong Kong Business Confidence is projected to trend around 3.00 points in 2027 and 4.00 points in 2028, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2026-01-23 08:30 AM
Business Confidence
Q1 -3 -2 0
2026-04-24 08:30 AM
Business Confidence
Q2 -5 -3 1
2026-07-17 08:30 AM
Business Confidence
Q3 -5 3


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Bankruptcies 10377.00 11631.00 Companies Feb 2026
Business Confidence -5.00 -3.00 points Jun 2026
Car Registrations 4806.00 4991.00 Units Feb 2026
Changes in Inventories 36011.00 10699.00 HKD Million Dec 2025
Industrial Production YoY 5.70 5.30 percent Dec 2025


Hong Kong Business Confidence
In Hong Kong, the Quarterly Business Tendency Survey measures the expectations of entrepreneurs regarding changes in business situation in the current quarter compared to the previous quarter. The survey covers a sample of 560 senior managers from the main sectors of the economy: manufacturing; construction; wholesale and retail trade; accommodation and food services; transportation, storage and courier services; information and communications; financing and insurance; real estate; and professional and business services sectors. The survey result is presented as a net balance: the difference between the percentage of respondents choosing “a better outlook” and that choosing "a worse outlook". A positive sign indicates a likely upward trend while a negative sign, a likely downward trend.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-5.00 -3.00 32.00 -53.00 2006 - 2026 points Quarterly

News Stream
Hong Kong Business Sentiment Weakens in Q2
Business confidence in Hong Kong fell to -5 in Q2 2026 from -3 in the previous period, marking the weakest reading in three quarters. The share of respondents expecting a better business condition was unchanged at 11% from Q1 2026, while those expecting a worse outcome rose to 16% from 14%. Deterioration was most evident in accommodation and food services (-35), where significantly more respondents expected a weaker business situation, lower output, and reduced employment. Construction also remained subdued (-21), with expectations skewed toward weaker activity and notably lower selling prices. In contrast, financing and insurance (+12) saw more respondents expecting an improved business situation and higher output. Selling price expectations were broadly stable to higher across most sectors, particularly in import/export trade and wholesale, where more firms expected increases, while construction stood out with significantly more respondents expecting lower tender prices.
2026-04-24
Hong Kong Business Morale Slightly Worsens
Business confidence in Hong Kong slightly worsened to -3 in the first quarter of 2026, from -2 in the previous three-month period. The share of respondents expecting better business conditions declined to 11% from 13% in Q4 2025, while those anticipating worse conditions eased slightly to 14% from 15%. Sentiment continued to deteriorate in import/export trade and wholesale (-12 vs -11 in Q4), transportation, storage and courier services (-13 vs -11), and professional and business services (-12 vs -9). In addition, sentiment turned pessimistic in retail (-1 vs 14), accommodation and food services (-22 vs 10), and real estate (-4 vs 7). On the other hand, sentiment was unchanged in manufacturing (-15), while it improved modestly in construction (-23 vs -24) and information and communication (-8 vs -16).
2026-01-23
Hong Kong Business Morale Improves in Q4
Business confidence in Hong Kong rose to -2 in the fourth quarter of 2025 from -8 in the previous quarter. The share of respondents expecting business conditions to improve rose to 13% in Q4 2025 (vs 10% in Q3), while those anticipating worse conditions declined to 15% (vs 18% in Q3). Confidence strengthened in financing and insurance (13 vs 11), real estate (7 vs 3), and turned positive in accommodation and food services (10 vs -16) and retail (14 vs -14). Sentiment also improved though remained negative in import/export trade and wholesale (-11 vs -18), transportation, storage and courier services (-11 vs -31), and professional and business services (-9 vs -14). In contrast, sentiment weakened further in manufacturing (-15 vs -2), information and communications (-16 vs -9), and construction (-24 vs -22), reflecting continued sector-specific challenges.
2025-10-24