China Consumer Prices Unexpectedly Rise

China’s annual inflation jumped to 1.3% in February 2026 from 0.2% in January, marking the highest print since January 2023 and topping market expectations of 0.8%. The increase largely reflected the impact of the Lunar New Year, which fell in mid-February this year. Food prices logged the sharpest rise since October 2024, rebounding from a prior decline (1.7% vs -0.7% in January), boosted by an acceleration in the cost of fresh vegetables and a softer drop in pork prices. Non-food inflation picked up strongly (1.3% vs 0.4%), with upward price pressures coming from clothing (1.9% vs 1.9%), healthcare (1.9% vs 1.7%), and education (2.0% vs flat reading). Meantime, transport costs fell much more slowly (-0.7% vs -3.4%), even as a drop in housing prices accelerated a bit (-0.2% vs -0.1%). Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 1.8% yoy, the strongest since March 2019. Monthly, the CPI rose 1.0%, up from 0.2% in January and pointing to the largest monthly gain since February 2024.

China’s annual inflation eased sharply to 0.2% in January 2026 from 0.8% a month earlier, marking the lowest print since October and missing market expectations of 0.4%. Food prices fell for the first time in three months (-0.7% vs 1.1% in December), dragged by drops in pork, eggs, and cooking oils. Non-food inflation slowed (0.4% vs 0.8%), despite ongoing consumer trade-in programs. Healthcare inflation slowed slightly (1.7% vs 1.8%), education cost was flat after a 0.9% rise previously, while housing (-0.1% vs -0.2%) and transport (-3.4% vs -2.6%) saw further declines. Clothing prices, however, accelerated (1.9% vs 1.7%). NBS statistician Dong Lijuan said the moderation in January inflation was mainly due to a high base and sharper energy price drops. Meanwhile, core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 0.8% year-on-year, the weakest in six months after 1.2% in December and November. Monthly, CPI increased 0.2%, matching the December level but undershooting the 0.3% consensus.

China’s annual inflation rate edged higher to 0.8% in December 2025 from 0.7% in the prior month, marking the highest level since February 2023 but falling short of market forecasts for 0.9%. The latest result also pointed to the third straight month of consumer inflation, with food prices rising the most in 14 months (1.1% vs 0.2% in November), driven by sharper price increases in fresh vegetables and fresh fruit. Meanwhile, non-food inflation remained steady (at 0.8%), helped by ongoing consumer trade-in programs. Prices continued to rise for clothing (1.7% vs 1.9%), healthcare (1.8% vs 1.6%), and education (0.9% vs 0.8%). In contrast, housing prices fell 0.2% after being flat previously, while transport costs dropped further (-2.6% vs -2.3%). Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, held at 1.2% yoy, staying at its highest in 20 months. Monthly, the CPI rose 0.2%, after a 0.1% drop in November. For the whole year, inflation was flat, missing the official target of around 2%.