German Bund Yields Hit Four-Month Low

2025-10-17 08:26 By Joana Ferreira 1 min. read

Germany’s 10-year Bund yield fell below 2.55%, touching its lowest level since June 25, as investors sought safety amid escalating US-China trade tensions and fresh signs of credit stress in the US banking sector.

On Thursday, Beijing accused Washington of “stoking panic” over its rare earth export controls and rejected calls to roll back the measures.

Meanwhile, bank shares worldwide tumbled after two US regional banks revealed losses tied to bad and potentially fraudulent loans, deepening concerns over the health of global credit markets.

In response, money markets increased bets on interest rate cuts by both the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve.

Traders now price in an 80% probability of a 25 basis point ECB rate cut by July 2026, with the key rate expected to reach around 1.8% by the end of next year.

The Fed, meanwhile, is seen delivering at least two 25-basis-point cuts in the final meetings of the year.



News Stream
Bund Yields Near Two-Month Lows
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield eased to around 3.34%, touching its lowest level since August 31, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid mounting fiscal concerns and political uncertainty in France and other highly indebted eurozone economies. Meanwhile, fresh PMI data showed eurozone private-sector growth slowed to a four-month low in October, pressured by rising energy costs, higher interest rates and renewed contraction in France. Consumer confidence also deteriorated more sharply than expected. French bonds remained under particular pressure, with the spread between French OATs and German Bunds widening to around 170 basis points, its highest level since the eurozone sovereign debt crisis. Looking ahead, further demonstrations are expected across the region this weekend, while investors await next week’s inflation data and the ECB’s policy meeting, where officials are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.
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Bund Yields Ease on Safe-Haven Demand
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield retreated toward 3.4% amid safe-haven buying, while French and other highly indebted euro-area sovereign bonds remained under pressure from social unrest and growing budgetary concerns The 10-year OAT-Bund spread widened beyond 150 basis points, reaching its highest level since the eurozone sovereign debt crisis. In France, anti-government protests and budget negotiations in a deeply divided Parliament have raised doubts about the implementation of austerity measures ahead of next year’s elections. Italy also announced plans to deploy 500 troops following days of unrest. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions escalated after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy accused US President Donald Trump of pressuring Kyiv to make concessions to Russia. Persistent inflation concerns amid a rebound in oil prices, and expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer, continued to weigh on broader market sentiment.
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