Brazil's Consumer Confidence Remains Stable

Brazil's seasonally adjusted FGV-IBRE Consumer Confidence Index retreated 0.1 points to 88.7 in June 2026 from 88.8 in May. Sentiment remained relatively stable, although reflecting contrasting variations. Expectations for the future worsened, with the index falling 0.9 points to 90.4, while the perception of the current situation improved, advancing 0.9 points to 87, marking the third consecutive increase and the highest level since October 2014. Purchase intentions of durable goods (80 vs 83) and future financial situation (87.7 vs 89.4) suggest a more pessimistic sentiment, although the current financial situation confidence improved (79 vs 81.3). In contrast, future local economic expectations increased by 2.4 points to 105.3, while current perceptions fell by 0.4 points to 95.4. Across income groups, consumer confidence improved among lower-income households, while sentiment deteriorated among consumers earning R$4,800 or more.

Brazil's seasonally adjusted FGV-IBRE Consumer Confidence Index retreated 0.3 points to 88.8 in May 2026, following two consecutive months of improvement. The survey showed mixed signals across components, with the Expectations Index (IE) falling 1.0 point to 91.3, while the Current Situation Index (ISA) rose 0.8 points to 86.1, its highest level since December 2014 (86.5). The decline was driven by weaker expectations for the coming months alongside a still favorable assessment of current conditions, with the current situation index holding at its highest level since end-2014. Consumers earning up to R$4,800 showed a deterioration in future expectations, reflecting greater sensitivity to economic uncertainty. Overall, the May results point to stable current conditions but increased caution about the outlook ahead,” said Anna Carolina Gouveia, economist at FGV IBRE.

Brazil's seasonally adjusted FGV-IBRE Consumer Confidence Index advanced 1 point to 89.1 in April 2026, its highest level since December 2025. The increase was influenced by improvements in both survey horizons, with current conditions providing the main boost. The current situation index rose 2.1 points to 83.2, as the indicator of the households' current financial situation rose 3.9 points to 76.0 points, the highest level since February 2020, and the indicator of the current local economic situation advanced 0.3 points to 95.0 points. At the same time, the expectations index edged up 0.2 points to 92.3 points, with the indicator of households’ future financial situation rising 0.9 points to 90.3, its highest since December 2025, while prospects for the economy stayed at 105.5. Planned purchases of durable goods, however, slipped 0.3 points to 82.5.