Italy Retail Sales MoM  Forecast


Italy Retail Sales MoM
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Retail Sales MoM in Italy is expected to be 0.60 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in Italy to stand at -0.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Italy Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Italy Consumer Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 117 114 112 111 109 110
Retail Sales MoM 1.1 0.6 -0.3 0.7 -0.2 0.2
Retail Sales YoY 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.7 2 2.1
Consumer Spending 241913 243000 244000 245000 246000 255000
Disposable Personal Income 289878 292000 294000 295000 296000 302000
Personal Savings 8.2 7.2 7 6.9 6.8 6.2
Households Debt To Gdp 41.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 34.3
Households Debt To Income 61.09 57.4 57.4 57.4 57.4 53.2
Bank Lending Rate 1.99 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.75
Consumer Credit 94691 100100 102300 105400 111000 145000
Gasoline Prices 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 2 2
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 106 104 103 103 102 99.8
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 108 108 109 109 109 109
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 102 101 100 100 100 99.2
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -45.9 -57.63 -59.72 -61.61 -63.31 -72.08
Consumer Confidence Price Trends -13.7 -7.41 -5.88 -4.39 -2.96 6.85
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -46.5 -45.27 -44.87 -44.49 -44.14 -42.03
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 37.2 40 40.82 41.53 42.15 45.05