Italy Retail Sales YoY - Forecast

Retail Sales YoY in Italy is expected to be 0.90 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Italy to stand at 1.90 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Italy Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.10 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Italy Retail Sales YoY
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Italy Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 117 115 113 114 114 111
Retail Sales MoM 0.4 -0.6 0.7 0.3 -0.4 0.4
Retail Sales YoY -0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.1
Consumer Spending 241361 242234 243219 245947 243728 256134
Disposable Personal Income 292932 294000 296000 298000 302000 316000
Personal Savings 8.2 7 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.2
Households Debt To Gdp 41.2 38.4 38.4 38.4 36.7 34.3
Households Debt To Income 61.09 57.4 57.4 57.4 58.97 53.2
Bank Lending Rate 1.96 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.75
Consumer Credit 95825 102300 105400 111000 115100 145000
Gasoline Prices 1.95 1.85 1.74 1.64 1.55 1.08
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 106 106 106 106 106 106
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 108 109 109 109 109 109
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 102 101 101 101 101 101
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -45.9 -51.26 -51.26 -51.26 -51.26 -51.26
Consumer Confidence Price Trends -13.7 -12.03 -12.04 -12.03 -12.03 -12.03
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -46.5 -46.32 -46.32 -46.32 -46.32 -46.32
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 37.2 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4