Gross fixed investment in Mexico dropped 8.8 percent year-on-year in June 2019, following a downwardly revised 7.3 percent fall in the previous month and compared with market forecasts of an 8.8 percent decline. It was the fifth consecutive monthly decrease in private investment and the sharpest since April 2017. Investment in machinery and equipment went down 14 percent, after dropping 5.7 percent in May, mainly due to external demand (-20.3 percent vs -5.2 percent) and national (-4.9 percent vs -6.4 percent). Also, investment in construction activity fell 4.6 percent, following an 8.6 percent decrease, of which residential (-6.1 percent vs -8.8 percent) and non-residential (-3.1 percent vs -8.5 percent). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, fixed investment declined 0.8 percent, after a downwardly revised 2.5 percent fall in May. Private Investment in Mexico averaged 2.85 percent from 1994 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 33.10 percent in July of 1996 and a record low of -41.90 percent in June of 1995.
Private Investment in Mexico is expected to be 3.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Private Investment in Mexico to stand at 2.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Mexico Gross Fixed Investment is projected to trend around 3.10 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.