Euro Area Gross Household Saving Rate  Forecast


Personal Savings in Euro Area is expected to be 11.40 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Personal Savings in Euro Area to stand at 11.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Euro Area Gross Household Saving Rate is projected to trend around 10.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Euro Area Gross Household Saving Rate
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Euro Area Consumer Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -1.2 -4.2 -3.6 -2.2 -2 -6.3
Retail Sales MoM -0.3 0.2 0.6 -0.2 0.2 1
Retail Sales YoY 2.6 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.7
Consumer Spending 1402 1430 1440 1450 1460 1600
Disposable Personal Income 1693338 1700000 1710000 1720000 1730000 1820000
Personal Savings 12.31 11.4 11.1 11 11 10.5
Private Sector Credit 13004151 13440000 13600000 13800000 13900000 15400000
Bank Lending Rate 2.21 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 3.2
Consumer Credit 640414 656000 677000 694000 696000 717000
Economic Optimism Index 112 107 106 106 107 107
Households Debt To Gdp 58.5 58.2 58.2 57 57 53.7
Households Debt To Income 93.55 91.9 91.9 90.5 90.5 87.1
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions -5.3 -1.7 0.09 1.04 1.54 2.12
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations -0.5 1.16 1.98 2.22 2.28 2.31
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations -0.7 -0.63 -0.59 -0.57 -0.56 -0.56
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -17.3 -17.62 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58 -17.58
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 11.6 11.56 11.32 11.28 11.27 11.26
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -3.5 -3.88 -3.84 -3.85 -3.84 -3.84
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 0.6 -2.1 -2.18 -2.83 -2.37 -2.38