Italian Construction PMI Contracts Further in January

The S&P Global Italy Construction PMI fell to 46.8 in March 2026 from 50.4 in February, signaling a renewed contraction and the sharpest decline since August 2024. Activity dropped across residential, commercial, and civil engineering segments, pointing to a broad-based slowdown. The decline was driven by weaker demand and a renewed fall in new orders, reversing February’s brief rebound, while firms reduced purchasing in response to lower workloads. Supply chains remained strained, with delivery times lengthening amid disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict. Cost pressures intensified, with input price inflation rising to its highest level since October 2022, driven by higher energy and material costs. Despite the weaker environment, employment continued to grow modestly as firms worked through existing projects. Looking ahead, sentiment turned negative for the first time in over three years as firms grew more cautious about the outlook.

The HCOB Italy Construction PMI rose to 50.4 in February 2026 from 47.7 in January, signaling a renewed expansion in construction activity after three months of contraction. Output growth was modest but marked the first increase since October, supported by improved order books and the launch of new building sites. Residential and commercial construction both recovered from earlier declines, with housing activity rising at the fastest pace in over a year and commercial building reaching an 11-month high, while civil engineering remained in contraction. New orders rose for the first time in four months and at the strongest pace since mid-2025, while employment continued to rise, extending a year-and-a-half stretch of job creation. On prices, input cost inflation accelerated for a fifth straight month to the highest level in over three years, largely due to rising raw material prices. Firms’ outlook for the next 12 months improved slightly but remained subdued by historical standards.

The HCOB Italy Construction PMI edged down to 47.7 in January 2026 from 47.9 in December, signaling a third straight month of contraction and slightly faster declines in activity, new orders, and purchasing. Housing remained the weakest segment, posting a substantial drop and weighing most on the headline index, while commercial building slipped modestly and civil engineering was the only area to record a small uptick. Order books fell at one of the steepest rates in over a year as uncertainty dampened demand, prompting firms to scale back input buying. Despite softer workloads, employment growth accelerated to a seven-month high as companies favored permanent staff. Input cost inflation picked up due to higher raw material and energy prices, though overall pressures stayed below long-run averages. Business confidence weakened but remained marginally positive, with firms citing expected future projects even as uncertainty around the PNRR deadline tempered sentiment.