The Swiss economy unexpectedly shrank 0.2 percent on quarter in the three months to September 2018, after a 0.7 percent growth in the previous period and missing market expectations of a 0.4 percent expansion. It was the first quarterly contraction since the fourth quarter of 2016, as net trade contributed negatively to the GDP and investment in equipment slumped while household consumption was almost unchanged. GDP Growth Rate in Switzerland averaged 0.44 percent from 1980 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 2.40 percent in the fourth quarter of 1999 and a record low of -1.90 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008.

GDP Growth Rate in Switzerland is expected to be 0.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate GDP Growth Rate in Switzerland to stand at 0.40 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Switzerland GDP Growth Rate is projected to trend around 0.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

Switzerland GDP Growth Rate
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-03-01 06:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7%
2018-05-31 05:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5%
2018-09-06 05:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.7% 1% 0.5% 0.5%
2018-11-29 06:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6%
2019-02-28 06:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2% 0.5%
2019-05-28 05:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ
2019-09-05 05:45 AM GDP Growth Rate QoQ



Swiss Economy Contracts for 1st Time in Nearly 2 Years

The Swiss economy unexpectedly shrank 0.2 percent on quarter in the three months to September 2018, after a 0.7 percent growth in the previous period and missing market expectations of a 0.4 percent expansion. It was the first quarterly contraction since the fourth quarter of 2016, as net trade contributed negatively to the GDP and investment in equipment slumped while household consumption was almost unchanged.

On the expenditure side, exports of goods tumbled 4.2 percent in the third quarter (vs -0.3 percent in Q2) and imports declined at a softer 2.4 percent (vs -1.1 percent in Q2). In addition, exports of services dropped 0.6 percent (vs -0.1 percent in Q2), while imports were unchanged (vs -0.1 percent in Q2).

At the same time, private households barely increased their consumption expenditures (0.1 percent vs 0.2 percent in Q2), showing little willingness to make major purchases in light of weak real wage development. General government consumption decreased slightly (-0.1 percent vs 0.2 percent), while investment in construction showed no growth (vs 0.6 percent in Q2). In addition, investment in equipment and software fell sharply in almost all categories (-2.0 percent vs 0.5 percent). Only investment in machineries was slightly higher than in the previous quarter.

On the production side, both industrial and service sectors contributed to the negative quarterly result. Value added in manufacturing declined 0.6 percent after growing significantly over the past quarters. In the energy sector too, value added decreased 2.2 percent after two extremely positive previous quarters, with the dry summer resulting in production downtime at hydropower plants. Within services, value added in trade declined 1 percent following an already negative previous quarter, driven down by both retail and wholesale. The financial sector also recorded a minor drop, with the steady expansion lasting for several quarters being interrupted. In contrast, the positive development of the previous quarters persisted in the business services (0.7 percent) and health sectors (0.5 percent). The sluggish growth in services reflects, on the one hand, the generally subdued foreign demand for Swiss services. On the other hand, the weak domestic economy in the course of the subdued consumption climate in Switzerland also affected the third quarter performance..

Year-on-year, the GDP grew by 2.4 percent in the third quarter, following an upwardly revised 3.5 percent expansion in the previous period and missing forecasts of a 2.9 percent advance. It was the weakest annual growth rate since the third quarter of 2017.


SECO | Rida | rida@tradingeconomics.com
11/29/2018 11:43:21 AM


News

Swiss Q2 GDP Growth Stronger than Expected
The Swiss economy grew by 0.7 percent on quarter in the three months to June 2018, following an upwardly revised 1 percent expansion in the previous period and beating market consensus of 0.5 percent. GDP expanded at an above average rate for the fifth quarter in a row mainly supported by a strong increase in exports of goods despite global trade disputes.
Published on 2018-09-06

Swiss Q1 GDP Growth Beats Estimates
The Swiss economy advanced 0.6 percent on quarter in the three months to March of 2018, the same as in the previous period but above market consensus of a 0.5 percent growth. Private consumption and equipment investment were the main drivers of expansion while net trade contributed slightly negatively to growth.
Published on 2018-05-31

Swiss Economy Grows 0.6% in Q4
The Swiss economy grew by 0.6 percent on quarter in the last three months of 2017, following an upwardly revised 0.7 percent expansion in the previous period and in line with market expectations.
Published on 2018-03-01

Swiss Q3 GDP Growth Strongest in Nearly 3 Years
The Swiss economy advanced 0.6 percent on quarter in the three months to September of 2017, following an upwardly revised 0.4 percent growth in the previous period and beating market expectations of 0.5 percent. It was the strongest pace of expansion since the fourth quarter of 2014, mainly supported by consumption, equipment investment and net exports.
Published on 2017-11-30



Switzerland GDP Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
GDP Growth Rate -0.20 0.70 2.40 -1.90 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.40 3.50 5.80 -3.70 percent [+]
GDP 678.89 668.75 709.18 9.52 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 175106.43 175501.02 175501.02 89780.29 CHF Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 43116.30 43656.60 43656.60 18652.60 CHF Million [+]
GDP per capita 76667.44 76682.64 76682.64 54420.97 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 57410.17 57421.55 57421.55 46129.44 USD [+]


Switzerland GDP Growth Rate

On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of Swiss GDP and accounts for 54 percent of its total, followed by gross fixed capital formation (24 percent) and government expenditure (11 percent). Foreign trade adds 11 percent to GDP as exports account for 64 percent and imports for 53 percent. This page provides - Switzerland GDP Growth Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Switzerland GDP Growth Rate - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on January of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-0.20 0.70 2.40 -1.90 1980 - 2018 percent Quarterly
SA, WDA




Country Last Previous
United States 3.40 Sep/18
Indonesia 3.09 Sep/18
South Africa 2.20 Sep/18
India 1.90 Jun/18
China 1.60 Sep/18
Singapore 1.60 Dec/18
Russia 0.90 Jun/18
Brazil 0.80 Sep/18
Mexico 0.80 Sep/18
South Korea 0.60 Sep/18
Spain 0.60 Sep/18
United Kingdom 0.60 Sep/18
Canada 0.50 Sep/18
Australia 0.30 Sep/18
France 0.30 Sep/18
Euro Area 0.20 Sep/18
Netherlands 0.20 Sep/18
Saudi Arabia -0.05 Mar/18
Italy -0.10 Sep/18
Germany -0.20 Sep/18
Switzerland -0.20 Sep/18
Japan -0.60 Sep/18
Argentina -0.70 Sep/18
Turkey -1.10 Sep/18


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