Switzerland’s retail trade fell 0.7 percent year-on-year in March 2019 after being unchanged in the previous month and compared to market consensus of a 0.4 percent drop. Non-food trade went down 0.4 percent (vs 0.5 percent in February) and food, beverages & tobacco sales decreased 0.4 percent (vs -1 percent in February). On a monthly basis, retail sales declined 0.2 percent in March. Retail Sales YoY in Switzerland averaged 1.26 percent from 2001 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 6.80 percent in September of 2008 and a record low of -4.20 percent in December of 2016.
Retail Sales YoY in Switzerland is expected to be 0.90 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Switzerland to stand at 1.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Switzerland Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 1.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.