Peru GDP Annual Growth Rate1980-2021 Data | 2022-2023 Forecast | Calendar

Peru's economy expanded 3.8% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2021, following a 1.7% decline in the previous period. It was the first expansion in a year boosted by public measures to help companies and households but a new surge in COVID-19 cases during the spring is threatening a smooth and robust recovery. Main upward pressure came from significant fast-paced increases in manufacturing (16.1 percent vs 1.0 percent in Q4) and construction (41.9 percent vs 19.0 percent). In addition, output fell less in oil, gas and minerals extraction (-0.1 percent vs -3.8 percent), transport & storage (-14.6 percent vs -21.5 percent), accommodation & food services (-30.6 percent vs -37.8 percent) and business services (-5.2 percent vs -11.6 percent). On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, the GDP stalled, following a downwardly revised 7.5 percent rise in the previous period.

Peru's economy shrank by 1.7% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2020, following a downwardly revised 19% decline in the previous period. It was the fourth consecutive quarter of economic contraction but at the softest pace in the current sequence. Output fell less in oil, gas and minerals extraction (-3.8% vs -9.8% in Q3): accommodation & food services (-37.8% vs -61.4%); transport & storage (-21.5% vs -28.1%); business services (-11.6% vs -20.1%) and trade (-2.6% vs -7.8%). Additionally, activity rebounded in construction (19% vs -4.1%); manufacturing (1% vs -7.9%) and agriculture (0.4% vs -1.5%). At the same time, notable growth was recorded in fishing activity (34.8% vs 11.3%); finance & insurance (20.6% vs 19.2%) and telecommunications & information services (6.8% vs 6.1%). In 2020, the Peruvian economy tumbled 11.1%, the biggest annual decline since 1989 when the economy shrank by 13.4% at a time of hyperinflation and guerrilla warfare.

Peru's economy shrank 9.4% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2020, following a downwardly revised 29.8% decline in the previous period. It was the third consecutive contraction following the sharpest on record, extending a recession as the coronavirus pandemic hit the economy. On the expenditure side, output was mainly dragged by a 23.6% contraction in gross fixed public investment (-69% in Q2), much steeper than a 6.8% fall in private investment (-52.5%). In contrast, government consumption rose 3.5%, whereas private spending sank 9.3%. Meanwhile, exports shrank 25.6% (vs -38.9%) and imports 20.4% (-32.1%). By sector, services fell 10.1% (vs -28.1% in Q2), mining dropped 8.0% (vs -20%), and industrial production sank 8.3% (vs -44.1%). Year-to-date, GDP is down 14.5%.

Peru's economy shrank 30.2% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2020, following an upwardly revised 3.5% decline in the previous period. It was the second consecutive contraction and the sharpest on record, entering a recession as the coronavirus pandemic hit the economy. Output shrank further mainly for oil, gas and minerals extraction (-34.1% vs -5.2% in Q1); trade (-45.4% vs -7.1%); hotels & restaurants (-89.8% vs -11.2%); manufacturing (-34.3% vs -10%); construction (-67.2% vs -13.1%); business services (-43.1% vs -2.2%); utilities (-19.4% vs -2.1%); and fishing (-15.8% vs -15.3%). On the expenditure side, private consumption slumped 22.1%, faster than a 1.7% contraction; public spending shrank 3.2%, after growing 7.2%; and fixed investment plunged 57.7%, following a 13.3% drop. Exports tumbled 40.3% (vs -6.2% in Q1) and imports fell at a softer 30.4% (vs -5.3% in Q1). On a quarterly basis, the GDP shrank 27.2%, the most on record after contracting 6.3% in the prior period.