Sweden’s one-year-ahead expected inflation rate fell to 6.5% in January 2026 from 7% in the previous month. This marked the lowest reading since November 2024. Inflation Expectations in Sweden averaged 3.31 percent from 1986 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 11.40 percent in September of 2022 and a record low of 0.00 percent in September of 2014. source: National Institute of Economic Research, Sweden

Inflation Expectations in Sweden is expected to be 4.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Sweden Consumer Inflation Expectations is projected to trend around 2.00 percent in 2027, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2025-12-19 08:00 AM
Consumer Inflation Expectations
Dec 7% 7.1% 6.5%
2026-01-29 08:00 AM
Consumer Inflation Expectations
Jan 6.5% 7% 6.8%
2026-02-26 08:00 AM
Consumer Inflation Expectations
Feb 6.5% 6.3%


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
CPI 417.96 417.83 points Dec 2025
CPIF excl. Energy 254.91 254.09 points Dec 2025
CPIF excl. Energy YoY 2.30 2.40 percent Dec 2025
CPIF excl. Energy MoM 0.30 -0.60 percent Dec 2025
CPI Housing Utilities 552.55 555.56 points Dec 2025
CPI Transportation 549.53 547.07 points Dec 2025
Export Prices 128.90 130.60 points Dec 2025
Food Inflation 3.72 3.09 percent Dec 2025
Harmonised Consumer Prices 100.60 100.51 points Dec 2025
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM 0.10 -0.30 percent Dec 2025
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY 2.10 2.20 percent Dec 2025
Import Prices 132.40 133.90 points Dec 2025
Consumer Inflation Expectations 6.50 7.00 percent Jan 2026
Inflation Rate YoY 0.40 0.30 percent Jan 2026
Inflation Rate MoM 0.10 0.00 percent Jan 2026
PPI MoM -1.10 1.20 percent Dec 2025
Producer Prices 131.50 133.00 points Dec 2025
PPI YoY -2.70 -1.40 percent Dec 2025


Sweden Consumer Inflation Expectations
In Sweden, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
6.50 7.00 11.40 0.00 1986 - 2026 percent Monthly