Tourist Arrivals | Forecast | 2017-2020

This page provides forecasts for Tourist Arrivals including a long-term outlook for the next decades, medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions.


Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
United States 6507601.00 Sep/16   5624323 5427618 5258557 5113728 4429090
China 128.50 Feb/16   100 100 100 100 100
Japan 2477500.00 Aug/17   2432600 2460500 2474500 2481800 2438300
Germany 35555.00 Dec/16   36200 36200 38800 38800 41100
United Kingdom 4020.00 Jul/17   3290 2760 2680 3460 2990
France 84500.00 Dec/15   84800 84800 85200 85200 86200
India 724000.00 Aug/17   755400 675100 624500 584600 762000
Brazil 6578.00 Dec/16   6500 6600 6575 6550 6200
Canada 4531101.00 Jul/17   3843100 2738100 2771800 3130700 3020700
South Korea 1103506.00 Aug/17   1620000 1480000 1294735 1710000 2890000
Russia
Spain 10510.53 Jul/17   7560 3940 2000 5400 5150
Australia 746100.00 Jul/17   604800 596900 586000 575800 494200
Mexico 2161.57 Jul/17   1800 2870 1800 1800 3360
Indonesia 1134846.00 Jul/17   1050000 1113980 1056666 1063865 1485815
Turkey 5075961.00 Jul/17   2780000 1260000 1550000 2290000 1220000
Last Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Albania 1157354.00 Jun/17   2348400 754800 600500 1166500 795400
Argentina 1483988.00 Dec/15   1228400 1403200 1674200 1368500 1328900
Armenia 76955.00 Jun/17   63600 41700 42300 68500 48000
Australia 746100.00 Jul/17   604800 596900 586000 575800 494200
Austria 5178.50 Jul/17   3300 3100 2700 2900 2700
Azerbaijan 8949.00 Dec/16   9600 9700 11600 13500 19300
Bahamas 682.70 Mar/17   500 500 500 500 500
Barbados 67643.00 Dec/16   46800 45100 43400 42500 39600
Belarus 217398.00 Dec/16   250775 261600 248800 236000 163500
Belize 1177056.00 Dec/15   966675 901900 867125 832350 967500
Bhutan 4057.00 May/17   4300 3400 3700 3600 3600
Bosnia And Herzegovina 125616.00 Jun/17   81100 55500 58200 65600 65700
Brazil 6578.00 Dec/16   6500 6600 6575 6550 6200
Brunei 218213.00 Dec/15   220125 218300 218300 218300 218300
Bulgaria 2022127.00 Jul/17   1201000 568000 479000 1492000 587000
Cambodia 368809.00 May/17   378100 397300 392200 389200 390500
Canada 4531101.00 Jul/17   3843100 2738100 2771800 3130700 3020700
Cape Verde 153535.00 Jun/17   147900 153100 157200 157400 158100
Cayman Islands 385.50 Dec/16   400 400 400 400 300
China 128.50 Feb/16   100 100 100 100 100
Comoros 27111.00 Dec/14   24525 24400 23300 22200 21900
Croatia 4088802.00 Jul/17   3292200 504400 175000 298000 315600
Cuba 266183.00 Aug/16   243400 234800 238100 242700 241100
Cyprus 523651.00 Aug/17   317600 -58000 68700 395100 129300
East Timor 21307.00 Mar/17   16000 15300 16300 15900 15700
Egypt 533.00 Jun/17   610 657 700 670 890
Fiji 90108.00 Jul/17   102000 118900 134600 149300 255700
France 84500.00 Dec/15   84800 84800 85200 85200 86200
Germany 35555.00 Dec/16   36200 36200 38800 38800 41100
Greece 1922299.00 May/17   2625000 355000 366000 2611000 465000
Guyana 235.30 Dec/16   200 200 225 250 300
Hong Kong 5167700.00 Jul/17   4632200 4750300 4735500 4706700 4529400
Iceland 146429.00 May/17   110100 94700 83100 75100 56500
India 724000.00 Aug/17   755400 675100 624500 584600 762000
Indonesia 1134846.00 Jul/17   1050000 1113980 1056666 1063865 1485815
Ireland 2769.40 Jun/17   4620 2560 1980 4660 3600
Israel 253.77 Aug/17   300 300 300 200 200
Jamaica 347614.00 Apr/17   276500 262000 249700 240800 224600
Japan 2477500.00 Aug/17   2432600 2460500 2474500 2481800 2438300
Jordan 638.50 Jun/17   700 700 700 700 700
Kenya 67084.00 Apr/17   76394 77405 81100 81500 80402
Kuwait 6941.00 Dec/15   6650 6700 6625 6550 6000
Kyrgyzstan 1265.10 Dec/15   1200 1200 1175 1150 1000
Lebanon 1518.00 Dec/15   1500 1560 1475 1450 1970
Macau 2866400.00 Aug/17   2629100 2640000 2735200 2716100 2960000
Macedonia 1534.00 Jul/17   800 200 400 600 500
Madagascar 14081.00 Mar/17   18600 20900 20300 19600 19700
Malaysia 2039016.00 May/17   2220598 2860000 2470000 2500000 3340000
Maldives 85222.00 Jun/17   94000 98300 99300 99400 99500
Malta 256509.30 Jul/17   174500 50300 64700 143300 119300
Mauritius 100191.00 Aug/17   96000 88900 82700 79900 78600
Mexico 2161.57 Jul/17   1800 2870 1800 1800 3360
Moldova 41125.00 Jun/17   34000 33100 26300 37500 32500
Montenegro 166642.00 Jul/17   114200 24400 29900 132200 30200
Morocco 10331731.00 Dec/16   10346400 10318500 10229875 10141250 9506800
Myanmar 268468.00 Nov/16   256300 252700 251500 251400 251700
New Caledonia 9053.00 Apr/17   8600 8600 8600 8600 8600
New Zealand 233991.00 Aug/17   226600 200400 181400 168500 142400
Oman 278.00 Jul/17   200 200 300 200 200
Palestine 432.00 Dec/15   425 400 375 350 200
Peru 4575753.00 Dec/16   4737225 4843900 4908500 4973100 5514900
Philippines 474854.00 Jun/17   450145 600000 560000 560000 831000
Portugal 4885481.00 Jul/17   4491000 1676000 2920000 4251000 2153000
Qatar 2930.00 Dec/15   3075 3100 3125 3150 3200
Saudi Arabia 17994.00 Dec/15   17100 17100 18689 18689 21230
Serbia 136605.00 May/17   96800 65400 64900 75900 77200
Seychelles 33117.00 Aug/17   28200 29900 27300 27300 24700
Sierra Leone 24.00 Dec/15   11.14 5.16 7.97 10.77 55.48
Singapore 1386395.00 Jun/17   1288232 1692874 1503004 1449153 2210118
Slovenia 487981.00 Jun/17   294400 213800 296500 299500 281300
South Africa 1155058.00 Jun/17   1278553 1340509 1217900 1212400 1518528
South Korea 1103506.00 Aug/17   1620000 1480000 1294735 1710000 2890000
Spain 10510.53 Jul/17   7560 3940 2000 5400 5150
Sri Lanka 190928.00 Aug/17   151000 227000 191000 125000 244000
Switzerland 1507.00 May/17   1200 1200 1200 1200 1200
Taiwan 909.38 Aug/17   800 800 800 800 800
Thailand 3088040.00 Jul/17   2937235 3241268 3829464 3829464 3635200
Tunisia 4201.80 Dec/15   4725 4400 4475 4550 4700
Turkey 5075961.00 Jul/17   2780000 1260000 1550000 2290000 1220000
Uganda 1303.00 Dec/15   1300 1300 1300 1300 1300
United Kingdom 4020.00 Jul/17   3290 2760 2680 3460 2990
United States 6507601.00 Sep/16   5624323 5427618 5258557 5113728 4429090
Vietnam 1229.20 Aug/17   1000 1080 1150 1200 1570
Zimbabwe 2056588.00 Dec/15   1943300 1999300 1982950 1966600 1915000