Tourist Arrivals | Forecast | 2016-2020

This page provides forecasts for Tourist Arrivals including a long-term outlook for the next decades, medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions.


Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
United States 7958601.00 Aug/16   7693201 7711007 7718037 7715267 7714597
China 128.50 Feb/16   153 152 152 153 152
Japan 2578900.00 Apr/17   2333516 2353728 2370153 2380088 2394944
Germany 34970.00 Dec/15   36200 36200 36200 38800 41100
United Kingdom 2920.00 Mar/17   3410 3290 2760 2680 2990
France 84500.00 Dec/15   84800 84800 84800 85200 86200
India 905000.00 Mar/17   702939 751339 804478 781880 762000
Brazil 5813.00 Dec/13   5819 5824 5828 5828 5807
Canada 1670640.00 Mar/17   2665409 2524786 2056130 2261123 2304427
South Korea 1069833.00 Apr/17   1650000 1620000 1480000 1294735 2890000
Australia 768500.00 Mar/17   759355 789795 787960 781888 783766
Russia
Spain 4907.55 Mar/17   7890 7560 3940 4418 5150
Mexico 2110.92 Mar/17   2500 1766 2870 1766 3360
Indonesia 909173.00 Mar/17   938490 1050000 1113980 1056666 1485815
Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Argentina 1483988.00 Dec/15   1128758 1205426 1443714 1691427 1431449
Armenia 37908.00 Dec/16   43092 59258 39042 33811 41335
Australia 768500.00 Mar/17   759355 789795 787960 781888 783766
Austria 3478.20 Mar/17   2686 3360 3010 3420 2985
Azerbaijan 2009.00 Dec/15   8773 9833 10892 11099 19230
Bahamas 324.30 Oct/16   495 494 494 495 495
Barbados 67643.00 Dec/16   49028 49927 49807 49732 49748
Belarus 276260.00 Dec/15   180675 200107 219540 227876 155595
Belize 1177056.00 Dec/15   1031435 966666 901898 867125 967542
Bhutan 4862.00 Mar/17   4322 4810 4420 4715 4588
Bosnia And Herzegovina 56042.00 Feb/17   105294 98637 80146 85490 89146
Brazil 5813.00 Dec/13   5819 5824 5828 5828 5807
Brunei 218213.00 Dec/15   210943 204388 197834 202873 198271
Bulgaria 633666.00 Apr/17   0 0 706477 717302 721609
Cambodia 611534.00 Dec/16   389986 437639 443735 431699 434623
Canada 1670640.00 Mar/17   2665409 2524786 2056130 2261123 2304427
Cape Verde 182794.00 Dec/16   175750 171040 181413 186243 181394
Cayman Islands 385.40 Dec/15   384 384 384 385 391
China 128.50 Feb/16   153 152 152 153 152
Comoros 27111.00 Dec/14   24479 24461 24443 23383 21226
Croatia 231987.00 Mar/17   1172269 1037205 818032 919390 920939
Cuba 266183.00 Aug/16   260275 259925 259745 259652 259555
Cyprus 286331.00 Apr/17   425652 318334 89751 198675 171022
East Timor 16145.00 Dec/16   15339 16091 15413 15072 15405
Egypt 539.00 Feb/17   556 610 657 526 890
Fiji 54407.00 Mar/17   54764 54745 54745 54745 54745
France 84500.00 Dec/15   84800 84800 84800 85200 86200
Germany 34970.00 Dec/15   36200 36200 36200 38800 41100
Greece 360461.00 Mar/17   2568000 2625000 355000 366000 465000
Guyana 206.80 Dec/15   200 205 210 210 209
Hong Kong 4586186.00 Mar/17   4769698 4771932 4732819 4745090 4746815
Iceland 167806.00 Mar/17   158645 144219 151630 152987 151259
India 905000.00 Mar/17   702939 751339 804478 781880 762000
Indonesia 909173.00 Mar/17   938490 1050000 1113980 1056666 1485815
Ireland 1796.20 Mar/17   4290 4620 2560 1980 3600
Israel 349.20 Apr/17   281 292 286 288 288
Jamaica 262461.00 May/16   310248 310515 310474 310454 310457
Japan 2578900.00 Apr/17   2333516 2353728 2370153 2380088 2394944
Jordan 665.70 Apr/17   611 533 550 561 556
Kenya 77869.00 Dec/16   70381 76394 77405 74659 80402
Kuwait 6941.00 Dec/15   6569 6638 6707 6668 6330
Kyrgyzstan 1265.10 Dec/15   1197 1202 1208 1212 1225
Lebanon 1355.00 Dec/14   1540 1426 1560 1439 1970
Macau 2742799.00 Apr/17   2580000 2648542 2640000 2639021 2960000
Macedonia 430.00 Mar/17   753 672 586 651 644
Madagascar 38261.00 Dec/16   27425 23788 22111 21470 21252
Malaysia 2646810.00 Dec/16   2280000 2220598 2860000 2470000 3340000
Maldives 112665.00 Mar/17   115797 114264 115155 114689 114831
Malta 141266.05 Mar/17   214025 172938 121041 158797 155459
Mauritius 111432.00 Apr/17   108343 108241 108355 107767 107719
Mexico 2110.92 Mar/17   2500 1766 2870 1766 3360
Moldova 32630.00 Dec/16   35393 35960 34241 29988 34748
Montenegro 27294.00 Mar/17   1092 2551 271 49190 345
Morocco 10331731.00 Dec/16   10374311 10346425 10318540 10229899 9506845
Myanmar 300159.00 Jul/16   334931 335979 346183 346245 342806
New Caledonia 9256.00 Jan/17   9469 9498 9403 9347 9333
New Zealand 311866.00 Apr/17   254028 273990 312009 296428 292119
Oman 299.00 Mar/17   248 261 254 265 262
Palestine 556.00 Dec/14   574 598 622 621 641
Peru 4575753.00 Dec/16   4663304 4760022 4856740 4925834 5672348
Philippines 579178.00 Feb/17   487000 450145 600000 560000 831000
Portugal 2708356.00 Mar/17   4015000 4451000 1626000 2920000 2113000
Qatar 2930.00 Dec/15   3105 3145 3186 3222 3862
Saudi Arabia 15098.00 Dec/14   17100 17100 17100 18689 21230
Serbia 98429.00 Mar/17   127116 115109 91287 99273 103830
Seychelles 36016.00 Apr/17   28587 30889 30045 30192 30205
Sierra Leone 44.00 Dec/14   50.96 44.81 38.66 32.6 43.35
Singapore 1129745.00 Mar/17   1383341 1288232 1692874 1503004 2210118
Slovenia 269553.00 Mar/17   345954 314745 298387 315393 311785
South Africa 1180301.00 Feb/17   1323197 1278553 1340509 1360217 1518528
South Korea 1069833.00 Apr/17   1650000 1620000 1480000 1294735 2890000
Spain 4907.55 Mar/17   7890 7560 3940 4418 5150
Sri Lanka 160249.00 Apr/17   12 7 179798 179698 179759
Switzerland 1406.00 Mar/17   1293 1267 1330 1299 1306
Taiwan 926.81 Apr/17   848 879 886 879 880
Thailand 3007830.00 Mar/17   2676586 2937235 3241268 3829464 3635200
Tunisia 6069.70 Dec/14   6055 6042 6028 6038 6088
Turkey 1587007.00 Mar/17   2320000 2780000 1260000 1550000 1220000
Uganda 1303.00 Dec/15   1336 1325 1315 1321 1411
United Kingdom 2920.00 Mar/17   3410 3290 2760 2680 2990
United States 7958601.00 Aug/16   7693201 7711007 7718037 7715267 7714597
Vietnam 972.80 May/17   900 920 1080 1150 1570
Zimbabwe 2056588.00 Dec/15   1841590 1834367 1827144 1815049 1790130