Tourist Arrivals - Forecast - 2018-2020

This page provides forecasts for Tourist Arrivals including a long-term outlook for the next decades, medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions.


Last 2018 2019 2020
United States 6145476.00 Sep/17 6588400 6588300 6588300
China 2917.00 Dec/17 2961 3050 3100
Japan 2675000.00 May/18 2731400 2734700 2735100
Germany 37452.00 Dec/17 38800 40000 42100
United Kingdom 2590.00 Dec/17 2810 2990 3040
India 606043.00 May/18 843600 835000 762000
France 82600.00 Dec/16 85200 85700 86200
Brazil 6578.00 Dec/16 6700 6750 6800
Canada 1883642.00 Apr/18 2331300 2379500 2389500
South Korea 1238021.00 May/18 1320000 1250000 1380000
Australia 609300.00 May/18 1022100 1050200 1080400
Spain 8084.17 May/18 4120 5890 6150
Mexico 1783.60 May/18 1750 2280 3360
Indonesia 1200815.00 May/18 1203098 1359501 1485815
Turkey 3678440.00 May/18 1440000 1550000 1620000
Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
Albania 1706295.00 Mar/18 1298100 1290600 1291600 1291500
Algeria 2102.00 Dec/17 2250 2300 2400 2500
Argentina 215268.00 Mar/18 227600 225200 225000 225400
Armenia 52651.00 Mar/18 82000 64600 55800 76700
Australia 609300.00 May/18 680500 1022100 785600 780800
Austria 3247.50 May/18 3500 3500 3800 3100
Azerbaijan 8949.00 Dec/16 9600 9700 11600 13500
Bahamas 707.50 Mar/18 760 840 745 790
Barbados 54860.00 Jul/17 65000 67000 68000 68500
Belarus 282694.00 Dec/17 243125 230300 231500 232700
Belize 1261405.00 Dec/16 1267600 1310700 1304050 1297400
Bhutan 2944.00 Dec/17 5900 4600 5500 4900
Bosnia And Herzegovina 87248.00 Mar/18 114200 89800 99300 112800
Brazil 6578.00 Dec/16 6700 6700 6750 6750
Brunei 218213.00 Dec/15 204375 197800 202850 207900
Bulgaria 938642.00 May/18 1254000 575000 862500 876300
Cambodia 572075.00 Mar/18 609000 602200 604400 604300
Canada 1883642.00 Apr/18 2689500 2242600 2284700 2493200
Cape Verde 215349.00 Mar/18 195100 206300 210600 204800
Cayman Islands 385.50 Dec/16 400 400 400 400
Chile 374156.00 Mar/18 342800 366600 342000 336200
China 2917.00 Dec/17 2961 2961 3050 3050
Comoros 27000.00 Dec/17 26400 26100 26225 26350
Croatia 1442983.00 May/18 1243400 869400 1152200 1196100
Cuba 477718.00 Dec/16 332500 350500 330400 323800
Cyprus 450495.00 May/18 491200 97000 154000 476900
Dominican Republic 553499.00 Apr/18 430000 450000 530000 565000
East Timor 16177.00 Dec/17 17500 17000 16900 16900
Egypt 793.00 Dec/17 700 769 700 700
Fiji 67290.00 May/18 67400 67400 67400 67400
France 82600.00 Dec/16 81600 85200 85700 85700
Germany 37452.00 Dec/17 38800 38800 40000 40000
Greece 2365125.00 May/18 2851000 401000 372000 2791000
Guatemala 654643.00 Mar/18 539400 561300 584600 596100
Guyana 235.30 Dec/16 200 200 225 250
Hong Kong 4953003.00 May/18 5091900 5074500 5064700 5068300
Iceland 165240.00 May/18 142300 128000 115700 105500
India 606043.00 May/18 831300 913200 821600 805800
Indonesia 1200815.00 May/18 1159300 1203098 1170900 1171500
Ireland 1920.60 Mar/18 3200 2850 2020 4980
Israel 310.20 Jun/18 328 358 384 350
Jamaica 450011.00 Mar/18 465000 475000 450000 460000
Japan 2675000.00 May/18 2695000 2709800 2719400 2725400
Jordan 506.30 May/18 500 600 600 600
Kenya 56041.00 Apr/18 80600 73402 80500 80400
Kuwait 7055.00 Dec/16 6725 6700 6650 6600
Kyrgyzstan 1273.20 Dec/16 1275 1300 1300 1300
Lebanon 1688.00 Dec/16 1675 1690 1675 1650
Macau 2704745.00 May/18 2808400 2710000 2827800 2827100
Macedonia 1040.00 May/18 700 600 800 800
Madagascar 9728.00 Dec/17 20300 20200 20100 20000
Malaysia 1957248.00 Apr/18 2041800 2950000 2557400 2756400
Maldives 92913.00 May/18 122500 120500 117000 118700
Malta 234488.44 Apr/18 198500 129700 200800 244000
Mauritius 84345.00 Jun/18 103400 113800 108900 107000
Mexico 1783.60 May/18 1900 1750 1860 1970
Moldova 27128.00 Mar/18 33300 33300 33300 33300
Montenegro 109886.00 May/18 136200 34600 34800 86900
Morocco 11349347.00 Dec/17 11256975 11509900 11461200 11412500
Myanmar 316267.00 Nov/17 278600 280800 281900 281400
New Caledonia 9190.00 Jan/18 9800 9700 9600 9600
New Zealand 222079.00 May/18 290700 352800 298600 279200
Oman 166.00 May/18 300 300 300 300
Palestine 400.00 Dec/16 325 300 275 250
Peru 4575753.00 Dec/16 4721800 4826500 4885825 4945150
Philippines 591137.00 Apr/18 608400 680000 603300 603200
Portugal 4195909.00 May/18 4660000 1774000 2990000 4722000
Puerto Rico 107.40 May/18 130 140 145 150
Qatar 2938.00 Dec/16 3025 3000 3000 3000
Saudi Arabia 16119.00 Dec/17 16025 18689 15400 15400
Serbia 77627.00 Feb/18 136100 108600 106400 123900
Seychelles 23930.00 Jun/18 30100 29000 28700 29100
Sierra Leone 55.00 Dec/16 31.97 31.97 51.02 51.02
Singapore 1542180.00 Apr/18 1500000 1480000 1472000 1460000
Slovenia 469183.00 May/18 263600 259500 306700 297700
South Africa 1298709.00 Apr/18 1330500 1368527 1331200 1331200
South Korea 1238021.00 May/18 1210500 1320000 1188000 1195000
Spain 8084.17 May/18 8950 4120 5420 9150
Sri Lanka 146828.00 Jun/18 154000 232000 186100 184300
Switzerland 1513.00 Mar/18 1300 1400 1400 1400
Taiwan 842.24 May/18 800 900 800 900
Thailand 2755050.00 May/18 3080600 3332024 3052600 3051600
Tunisia 4201.80 Dec/15 4975 5000 5075 5150
Turkey 3678440.00 May/18 4150000 1440000 1690000 3878900
Uganda 1323.00 Dec/16 1300 1300 1325 1350
United Kingdom 2590.00 Dec/17 3340 2810 3220 4010
United States 6145476.00 Sep/17 6572800 6594500 6591200 6587400
Uruguay 1531746.00 Mar/18 998600 997500 997500 997500
Vietnam 1183.10 Jun/18 1005 1312 1285 1427
Zimbabwe 2422930.00 Dec/17 2296875 2372700 2373600 2374500