Tourist Arrivals | Forecast | 2017-2020

This page provides forecasts for Tourist Arrivals including a long-term outlook for the next decades, medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions.


Last 2018 2019 2020
United States 6507601.00 Sep/16   4883000 4588400 4429100
China 128.50 Feb/16   135 134 133
Japan 2595200.00 Oct/17   2361000 2342900 2313900
Germany 35555.00 Dec/16   38800 40000 41100
United Kingdom 3940.00 Aug/17   2810 2890 2990
France 84500.00 Dec/15   85200 85700 86200
India 876000.00 Oct/17   500100 463600 762000
Brazil 6578.00 Dec/16   6500 6400 6200
Canada 4183681.00 Aug/17   2974500 3021100 3026500
South Korea 1078653.00 Sep/17   2420000 2600000 2890000
Spain 8835.23 Sep/17   4250 4750 5150
Australia 663500.00 Sep/17   627000 588100 554400
Mexico 1284.27 Sep/17   3020 3180 3360
Indonesia 1039776.00 Sep/17   1203098 1359501 1485815
Turkey 4076630.00 Sep/17   1200000 1180000 1220000
Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
Albania 1157354.00 Jun/17   754800 600500 1166500 2302900
Algeria 2100.00 Dec/16   2200 2225 2250 2275
Argentina 1483988.00 Dec/15   1403200 1674200 1368500 1238400
Armenia 76955.00 Jun/17   41700 42300 68500 62700
Australia 663500.00 Sep/17   673100 660400 648700 637700
Austria 3764.80 Sep/17   3000 3000 2800 2800
Azerbaijan 8949.00 Dec/16   9700 11600 13500 15400
Bahamas 477.00 Aug/17   500 500 500 500
Barbados 54860.00 Jul/17   48400 45400 43800 43000
Belarus 217398.00 Dec/16   261600 248800 236000 223200
Belize 1261405.00 Dec/16   1126800 1106900 1087000 1067100
Bhutan 5358.00 Sep/17   3200 3900 3600 3700
Bosnia And Herzegovina 160932.00 Aug/17   88600 54600 53800 63700
Brazil 6578.00 Dec/16   6600 6575 6550 6525
Brunei 218213.00 Dec/15   218300 218300 218300 218300
Bulgaria 1270585.00 Sep/17   568000 479000 1492000 1254000
Cambodia 446627.00 Jul/17   388500 387400 391800 391600
Canada 4183681.00 Aug/17   2607500 2835900 3177400 3079100
Cape Verde 153535.00 Jun/17   153100 157200 157400 156900
Cayman Islands 385.50 Dec/16   400 400 400 400
China 128.50 Feb/16   137 136 136 135
Comoros 27111.00 Dec/14   24400 23300 22200 21100
Croatia 1826904.00 Sep/17   -491000 327500 390600 336200
Cuba 266183.00 Aug/16   234800 238100 242700 242700
Cyprus 406870.00 Oct/17   31200 -53600 306300 412700
East Timor 15797.00 Jun/17   15500 16300 15600 15400
Egypt 781.00 Jul/17   657 700 670 600
Fiji 82316.00 Aug/17   105000 121200 136400 150700
France 84500.00 Dec/15   84800 85200 85200 83825
Germany 35555.00 Dec/16   36200 38800 38800 38800
Greece 2743210.00 Sep/17   355000 366000 2611000 1507500
Guyana 235.30 Dec/16   200 225 250 275
Hong Kong 4635161.00 Sep/17   4839500 4812000 4781400 4762300
Iceland 284124.00 Aug/17   198100 181400 157100 140200
India 876000.00 Oct/17   607600 567100 539000 517000
Indonesia 1039776.00 Sep/17   1113980 1056666 1063865 1053500
Ireland 3095.60 Sep/17   2560 1980 4660 3000
Israel 426.41 Oct/17   300 300 200 200
Jamaica 304572.00 Jun/17   260100 248300 240100 234800
Japan 2595200.00 Oct/17   2308500 2335100 2351300 2359100
Jordan 609.70 Sep/17   700 700 700 700
Kenya 89782.00 Aug/17   77405 83300 82600 82200
Kuwait 6941.00 Dec/15   6700 6625 6550 6475
Kyrgyzstan 1265.10 Dec/15   1200 1175 1150 1125
Lebanon 1518.00 Dec/15   1560 1475 1450 1425
Macau 2486383.00 Sep/17   2640000 2685100 2662100 2648700
Macedonia 1041.00 Sep/17   200 300 700 600
Madagascar 10757.00 Jun/17   18700 19900 19900 19700
Malaysia 2129013.00 Aug/17   2860000 2470000 2500000 2094200
Maldives 105984.00 Sep/17   104800 102100 101000 100400
Malta 241377.73 Sep/17   88500 30300 107900 164700
Mauritius 130070.00 Oct/17   89100 82900 80000 79100
Mexico 1284.27 Sep/17   2870 1700 1600 1600
Moldova 41125.00 Jun/17   33100 26300 37500 33600
Montenegro 129706.00 Sep/17   24400 29900 132200 116200
Morocco 10331731.00 Dec/16   10318500 10229875 10141250 10052625
Myanmar 322159.00 Jan/17   254000 252000 251800 252100
New Caledonia 8191.00 Jun/17   8700 8600 8600 8600
New Zealand 252746.00 Sep/17   222500 197100 179300 167300
Oman 275.00 Sep/17   200 300 200 300
Palestine 432.00 Dec/15   400 375 350 325
Peru 4575753.00 Dec/16   4843900 4908500 4973100 5037700
Philippines 545254.00 Aug/17   600000 560000 560000 534200
Portugal 4640945.00 Sep/17   1676000 2920000 4251000 1953000
Qatar 2930.00 Dec/15   3100 3125 3150 3175
Saudi Arabia 17994.00 Dec/15   17100 18689 18689 16425
Serbia 152457.00 Sep/17   65400 64900 75900 81000
Seychelles 34036.00 Oct/17   29600 26600 26500 26700
Sierra Leone 24.00 Dec/15   5.16 7.97 10.77 13.57
Singapore 1559276.00 Aug/17   1692874 1503004 1449153 1493100
Slovenia 765332.00 Aug/17   164600 192000 346700 311200
South Africa 1302312.00 Aug/17   1340509 1273100 1266900 1262100
South Korea 1078653.00 Sep/17   1480000 1294735 1710000 990000
Spain 8835.23 Sep/17   3940 1400 4900 6500
Sri Lanka 152429.00 Oct/17   227000 191000 125000 154000
Switzerland 1876.00 Sep/17   1200 1200 1200 1200
Taiwan 820.10 Sep/17   900 800 800 800
Thailand 2555680.00 Sep/17   3241268 3829464 3829464 2796200
Tunisia 4201.80 Dec/15   4400 4475 4550 4625
Turkey 4076630.00 Sep/17   1260000 1550000 2290000 1810400
Uganda 1303.00 Dec/15   1300 1300 1300 1300
United Kingdom 3940.00 Aug/17   2760 2680 3460 3340
United States 6507601.00 Sep/16   5427600 5258600 5113700 4989500
Vietnam 1024.90 Oct/17   1080 1150 1200 900
Zimbabwe 2167686.00 Dec/16   2079900 2073150 2066400 2059650