Arabica Coffee Futures Hit Over 4-Month low

2026-11-11 15:13 By Luisa Carvalho 1 min. read

Arabica coffee futures eased to below $2.7 per pound, reaching their lowest level since June, amid improving supply prospects, particularly from top producer Brazil.

The decline occured after ICE reported that 104,370 bags of Brazilian coffee were awaiting grading at ICE warehouses as of November 10, the most in 8 months.

Coffee has been arriving rapidly from Brazil since mid-September, with ICE inventories of Brazilian coffee rising to a 14-month high of 103,457 bags on November 9.

This is particularly relevant at a time when stocks remain at critically low levels.

The solid pace of Brazilian exports are adding to the downward pressure, further amplified by the weakness of the real.

Recent data showed Brazilian coffee exports totaled 287,000 tons in October, a 23% increase compared to the same period last year.

Meanwhile, crop prospects for the 2027/28 season remains favorable, which have eased fears of severe drought-related damage stemming from El Niño.



News Stream
Arabica Coffee Futures Hit Over 4-Month low
Arabica coffee futures eased to below $2.7 per pound, reaching their lowest level since June, amid improving supply prospects, particularly from top producer Brazil. The decline occured after ICE reported that 104,370 bags of Brazilian coffee were awaiting grading at ICE warehouses as of November 10, the most in 8 months. Coffee has been arriving rapidly from Brazil since mid-September, with ICE inventories of Brazilian coffee rising to a 14-month high of 103,457 bags on November 9. This is particularly relevant at a time when stocks remain at critically low levels. The solid pace of Brazilian exports are adding to the downward pressure, further amplified by the weakness of the real. Recent data showed Brazilian coffee exports totaled 287,000 tons in October, a 23% increase compared to the same period last year. Meanwhile, crop prospects for the 2027/28 season remains favorable, which have eased fears of severe drought-related damage stemming from El Niño.
2026-11-11
Arabica Coffee Futures Hover at Over 1-Month Lows
Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.8 per pound, holding close to their lowest since September 24, pressured by expectations of increased Brazilian supply , with a subdued real further encouraging farmer selling. Coffee has been arriving rapidly from Brazil since mid-September, with ICE inventories of Brazilian coffee rising to a 9.25-month high of 83,678 bags by November 5. This is particularly important at a time when stocks remain at critically low levels. ICE reported that 55,396 bags of Brazilian coffee were awaiting grading at ICE warehouses, marking the highest level in seven weeks, suggesting certified stocks could rise further. Adding to the bearish outlook, consultancy Hedgepoint recently indicated that favourable rainfall and mild temperatures in September and October raised supply prospects for the 2027/28 crop. However, potential El Niño-related weather disruptions through early 2027 remain an upside risk to prices.
2026-11-06
Arabica Coffee Futures Rally
Arabica coffee futures surged above $2.9 per pound, rebounding recent one-month lows hit in the last week of October. The market remains caught between signs of limited availability in the short term and prospects for increased production in the coming months. Despite rising coffee arrivals at ICE-accredited warehouses, particularly from Brazil, certified Arabica inventories remain historically low. Total stocks stood at 225,068 bags on October 29, remaining close to the 27-year lows recorded in mid-September, while nearly 44,000 bags were awaiting classification. Meanwhile, market attention remains focused on weather conditions in top producer Brazil for the development of the next crop. Conditions have so far remained favourable, although concerns persist over the uneven distribution of rainfall across key producing regions and the potential impact of the El Niño phenomenon. A weaker Brazilian real added to the downward pressure.
2026-11-02