Arabica Coffee Futures at Over 1-Year Low

2026-02-17 15:00 By Luisa Carvalho 1 min. read

Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.8 per pound, nearing the lowest since November 2024, mainly pressured by Brazil's supply fundamentals.

The supply outlook in the leading producer remains solid, with a strong crop expected in the next (2026/27) season, even though some growing areas continue to face irregular weather conditions.

It is worth noting, however, that supplies from the 2025/26 season remain tight.

Recent rainfall across Brazil’s major coffee-producing regions has significantly improved crop prospects, alleviating earlier concerns over dry conditions that had threatened yield potential.

The National Supply Company (Conab) anticipates a record 66.2 million 60-kg bags in Brazil’s upcoming harvest, with Arabica production accounting for 44.1 million bags.

Eisa brokerage raises the bar further, estimating that the new crop could reach 75.8 million bags.

These projections, if realized, would represent an unprecedented volume of coffee entering the global market.



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