Arabica Coffee Futures at Near 3-Month Low

2025-12-15 16:28 By Luisa Carvalho 1 min. read

Arabica coffee futures traded around $3.5 per pound, holding close to the lowest September 23, pressured by the prospect of improved coffee supply in top producer Brazil.

A report released by Hedgepoint Global Markets on December 12 projected the 2026/27 Brazilian coffee crop to be between 71 and 74.4 million bags, with favorable October–November rainfall boosting Arabica flowering, while robusta production remained strong, supporting a replenishment of global coffee inventories.

Arabica production is forecast at 46.5-49 million bags, up from 37.7 million harvested in 2025/26, while Robusta output is seen at 24.6-25.4 million bags.

Earlier, the country’s crop forecasting agency, Conab, raised its total 2025 coffee production estimate by 2.4% to 56.54 million bags, up 4.3% from 2024, marking the third-largest output on record despite an “off-year” in the Arabica biennial cycle.

The European deforestation law delay and expected US shipments post-tariff removal also weighed on prices.



News Stream
Arabica Coffee Futures at 2024-Lows
Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.75 per pound, holding close to the lowest since November 2024, pressured by expectations of increased supply in the near-term. Traders closely monitor the incoming 2026/27 harvest in top producer Brazil. Weather conditions remain favorable in Brazilian producing areas, with predominantly dry weather and high temperatures, which is favoring the progress of the harvest and reducing risks to production at this time. Even though it is still in its initial phase, the market is already anticipating a larger harvest, keeping prices under pressure. In late April, the Coffee Trading Academy forecast Brazil’s 2026/27 output to rise 12% year-over-year to 71.4 million bags. Meanwhile, the demand outlook is clouded by potential price increases tied to the ongoing US–Israeli conflict with Iran.
2026-05-07
Coffee Hits 17-month Low
Coffee decreased to 274.45 USd/Lbs, the lowest since November 2024. Over the past 4 weeks, Coffee lost 4.86%, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 30.58%.
2026-05-07
Coffee Hits 9-week Low
Coffee decreased to 277.50 USd/Lbs, the lowest since February 2026. Over the past 4 weeks, Coffee lost 3.68%, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 29.73%.
2026-05-07