Turkey Budget Balance Shift to Surplus

Turkey’s central government budget posted a surplus of TRY 114.2 billion in June 2026, reversing from a deficit of TRY 330.2 billion in the same month a year earlier. Budget revenue jumped 66.0% year-on-year to TRY 1.5 trillion, fueled by a 72.0% increase in tax collections to TRY 1.3 trillion, reflecting robust growth in income tax, domestic VAT, import VAT, and special consumption tax. Meanwhile, total expenditures rose 12.6% to TRY 1.4 trillion, driven by higher personnel spending, goods and services purchases, and current transfers. Non-interest expenditures increased 23.9% to TRY 1.2 trillion, while interest payments declined 26.9% to TRY 201.6 billion. As a result, the primary balance swung to a surplus of TRY 315.8 billion from a deficit of TRY 54.5 billion a year earlier.

Turkey’s central government posted a budget deficit of TRY 298.2 billion in May 2026, compared with a surplus of TRY 235.2 billion a year earlier. Total spending rose 27.0% year-on-year to TRY 1.38 trillion, driven by increases in personnel costs (+48.1%), social security contributions (+52.6%), current transfers, capital expenditure, and goods and services purchases. Non-interest expenditures increased 28.3% to TRY 1.26 trillion, while interest payments rose 16.0% to TRY 128.9 billion. On the revenue side, inflows fell 18.0% to TRY 1.09 trillion, weighed by a 22.1% drop in tax receipts to TRY 931.5 billion, reflecting broad-based declines across key categories, including income tax, VAT, and special consumption tax, despite gains in banking and insurance taxes and customs-related revenues. As a result, the primary balance shifted to a deficit of TRY 169.3 billion from a surplus of TRY 346.4 billion a year earlier.

Turkey’s central government budget posted a deficit of TRY 338.7 billion in April 2026, almost doubling from TRY 174.7 billion a year earlier as expenditure growth outpaced revenues. Total spending rose 34.7% year-on-year to TRY 1.52 trillion, driven by increases in personnel costs, current transfers, capital expenditure, and goods and services purchases. Non-interest expenditures also climbed 45.4% to TRY 1.27 trillion, while interest payments slipped 1.2% to TRY 257.6 billion. On the revenue side, inflows increased 23.9% to TRY 1.19 trillion, supported by a 28.5% rise in tax receipts to TRY 1.01 trillion, boosted by gains in income tax, VAT (domestic and import), stamp duty, and banking and insurance transaction taxes. As a result, the primary balance shifted to a deficit of TRY 81.1 billion from a surplus of TRY 85.9 billion a year earlier, reflecting faster growth in non-interest spending relative to revenues.