Retail trade growth in Portugal eased to 4.2 percent year-on-year in March 2019 from an upwardly revised 4.9 percent in the previous month, as sales of food, beverages & tobacco rose at a softer pace (1 percent vs 3.6 percent). Meanwhile, sales of non-food products increased 6.9 percent, faster than 6 percent in February. On a monthly basis, retail sales surged 1.2 percent, after falling 0.6 percent in the previous period. Retail Sales YoY in Portugal averaged 1.29 percent from 1996 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 18.70 percent in March of 1996 and a record low of -11.20 percent in October of 2011.
Retail Sales YoY in Portugal is expected to be 3.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Portugal to stand at 2.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Portugal Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 2.30 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.