The business confidence in Portugal edged down for a second straight month to 2.6 in October 2026, the lowest since May 2025, compared to 2.8 in September. Confidence fell in the services sector (7.5 vs 8.8) amid weaker outlook regarding the evolution of demand, and, significantly, assessments of the company’s activity as well as opinions on the order book. Sentiment also weakened in construction (4 vs 4.5), retail (1.6 vs 1.7) and remained subdued in manufacturing (-4.1 vs -4.3). For 2027, the majority of companies in the manufacturing industry (61.9%) and in the services sector (73.3%) anticipate that investment will stabilize compared to 2026. source: Statistics Portugal

Business Confidence in Portugal decreased to 2.60 points in October from 2.80 points in September of 2026. Business Confidence in Portugal averaged 1.74 points from 1989 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 5.80 points in April of 1998 and a record low of -6.40 points in June of 2020. This page provides the latest reported value for - Portugal Business Confidence - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Portugal Business Confidence - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on November of 2026.

Business Confidence in Portugal decreased to 2.60 points in October from 2.80 points in September of 2026. Business Confidence in Portugal is expected to be 2.70 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Portugal Business Confidence is projected to trend around 2.60 points in 2027 and 2.50 points in 2028, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2026-09-29 08:30 AM
Business Confidence
Sep 2.8 2.9 2.8
2026-10-29 09:30 AM
Business Confidence
Oct 2.6 2.8 2.7
2026-11-27 09:30 AM
Business Confidence
Nov 2.6


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Business Confidence 2.60 2.80 points Oct 2026
Capacity Utilization 82.20 83.00 percent Sep 2026
Changes in Inventories 186.30 280.80 EUR Million Jun 2026
Industrial Production YoY -2.70 -4.10 percent Sep 2026
Industrial Production MoM 2.40 -2.20 percent Sep 2026
Manufacturing Production -2.50 -5.00 percent Sep 2026
Mining Production 5.80 44.60 percent Sep 2026


Portugal Business Confidence
In Portugal, the National Statistics Institute (INE) economic climate indicator on three terms moving averages is calculated in order to receive a timely composite indicator for the several sectors of economic activity. It is estimated using balances of questions from the Manufacturing Industry (1179 companies), Trade (1102 companies), Construction and Public Works (822 companies) and Services (1427 companies) surveys. The calculation is based on the factor analysis and the estimated series (the common component) is calibrated using the GDP change rates. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
2.60 2.80 5.80 -6.40 1989 - 2026 points Monthly

News Stream
Portugal Business Confidence Falls for 2nd Month
The business confidence in Portugal edged down for a second straight month to 2.6 in October 2026, the lowest since May 2025, compared to 2.8 in September. Confidence fell in the services sector (7.5 vs 8.8) amid weaker outlook regarding the evolution of demand, and, significantly, assessments of the company’s activity as well as opinions on the order book. Sentiment also weakened in construction (4 vs 4.5), retail (1.6 vs 1.7) and remained subdued in manufacturing (-4.1 vs -4.3). For 2027, the majority of companies in the manufacturing industry (61.9%) and in the services sector (73.3%) anticipate that investment will stabilize compared to 2026.
2026-10-29
Portugal Business Sentiment Edges Lower
Portugal’s business confidence indicator edged down to 2.8 in September 2026 from 2.9 in the previous month. Sentiment weakened in construction and public works (4.5 vs 4.9) after increasing for the previous six months, while confidence in overall trade fell sharply to 1.7 from 3, reflecting a marked deterioration among wholesalers (-1.5 vs -0.1) and retailers (4.9 vs 6.1). Meanwhile, confidence improved slightly among manufacturers (-4.3 vs -4.4) and in services (8.8 vs 8.4). Looking ahead, expectations for accelerating price growth increased across all sectors, particularly in manufacturing, services and trade, and more moderately in construction and public works.
2026-09-29
Portugal Business Climate Hits 6-Month High
Portugal's business confidence indicator rose to 2.9 in August 2026 from 2.8 previously, reaching the highest since February. Sentiment remained elevated among service providers (8.4 vs 8.4 in July) and improved further for constructors (4.9% vs 4.6). On the other hand, confidence weakened among manufacturers (-4.4 vs -4.3) and traders (3 vs 3.7), of which retailers (6.1 vs 6.4) and wholesalers (-0.1 vs 0.9).
2026-08-28