India 10Y Yield at 1-Month High

The yield on India’s 10-year G-Sec fell to around 6.8%, extending losses to multi-month lows as lower crude oil prices and fresh measures by the Reserve Bank of India supported demand for government debt. Investor sentiment was supported by the RBI's decision to allow banks to extend loans to non-residents against foreign-currency deposits, including through offshore branches. The measure is expected to boost participation in foreign-currency deposit schemes and attract additional dollar inflows into the banking system. Further weighing on yields, brent crude fell to around $76.68 per barrel, leaving prices only about $4–$5 above levels seen before the recent Middle East conflict. The decline followed signs of improving shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz, with three previously stranded supertankers successfully passing through the waterway and seven empty Qatar-linked LNG carriers entering the route in recent weeks.

The yield on India’s 10-Year G-Sec hovered around 6.8%, steadying after retreating to a three-month low as investors awaited the outcome of a INR 320 billion debt auction while monitoring developments in the Middle East. Market participants expect bond yields to remain range-bound until the auction results provide fresh direction. Meanwhile, softer oil prices continued to exert downward pressure on yields, with Brent crude holding below $80 per barrel amid expectations of increased supply after tanker traffic resumed through the Strait of Hormuz. Investor sentiment was further underpinned by sustained overseas demand for Indian debt. Foreign investors have poured more than $2.2 billion into local bonds over the past 10 trading sessions following measures announced by the Reserve Bank of India on June 5 to encourage dollar inflows. Much of the recent buying has been concentrated in the 6.68% 2040 and 7.24% 2055 securities, with the latter included in the latest debt sale.

The yield on India’s 10-Year G-Sec hovered around 6.8%, extending its decline near a three-month low amid demand from overseas funds and foreign banks. Sentiment remained supported by strong foreign inflows, with overseas investors purchasing more than $2.2 billion of Indian government bonds on a net basis so far this month, the strongest buying pace in 15 months. Additional downward pressure on yields came from the Reserve Bank of India's temporary removal of the interest-rate ceiling on fresh FCNR(B) deposits to attract foreign currency inflows. However, further gains were capped after the Federal Reserve adopted a more hawkish tone, pushing US two-year Treasury yields to a four-month high and reducing expectations for a continued rally in Indian bonds. Meanwhile, oil prices remained subdued, with Brent crude trading below $80 per barrel amid optimism over a reported US-Iran peace agreement and the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a key global energy route.