Soybeans Remain at 3-Month Low

Soybean futures held around $11.8 per bushel, sitting at their lowest level in three months, as expectations of abundant global supplies and concerns over Chinese demand weighed on prices. The US harvest was 88% complete as of November 1, four percentage points ahead of the five-year average, keeping production on track for a record. Competition from Brazil added to the pressure, with a weaker real making its exports more competitive, while planting for the 2026/27 crop reached 53% of the projected area, six percentage points ahead of last year's pace. Demand concerns also grew as China's soybean oil inventories climbed to nearly 1.5 million tons, reflecting strong crushing activity outpacing sluggish consumption. However, export demand offered some support, with US soybean shipments reaching a marketing-year high in the latest reported week. Traders now await the USDA's November WASDE report for updated estimates on production, demand and ending stocks.

Soybeans decreased to 1215.00 USd/Bu, the lowest since August 2026. Over the past 4 weeks, Soybeans lost 5.97%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 11.42%.

Soybean futures held below $12.1 per bushel, staying near an eleven-week low as the rapidly advancing US harvest and expectations for record crop weighed on prices. The USDA’s October WASDE report raised its forecast for 2026/27 US soybean crop by 1% from the previous estimate to a record 4.56 billion bushels, up 7% from the previous year. The projected yield was also revised higher by 0.6 bushels to a record 53.1 bushels per acre. According to the USDA’s weekly report, the harvest has now reached 79% completion as of October 25, slightly ahead of the five-year average of 77%. Meanwhile, US export inspections climbed to 2.48 million metric tons for the week ended October 22, up from 2.07 million the previous week and well above the 1.16 million tons recorded a year earlier. Elsewhere, Brazil’s competitive position remained a concern after President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s reelection weakened the real, making Brazilian soybeans cheaper for overseas buyers relative to US supplies.