TTF Prices Fall Below €30/MWh

European natural gas futures rose toward €52 per megawatt hour, climbing back to a six-week high as investors contended with persistent supply disruptions in the Middle East, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining largely closed. President Donald Trump has again warned that the US could launch new attacks on Iran if no agreement is reached, just after he said he had postponed a planned strike. The conflict, now in its 12th week, has severely disrupted shipping flows through the Strait, cutting roughly one-fifth of global LNG supply, with hostilities extending to key production assets in Qatar. Investors are now watching Europe’s LNG imports, as the region needs to secure fuel this summer to refill storage ahead of next winter.

European natural gas futures fell to around €49.8 per MWh, retreating from a near six-week high amid renewed hopes for a US–Iran agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump has held off on immediate military action against Iran after Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE requested additional time to pursue negotiations over a nuclear deal. Separately, reports suggested that Iran had agreed to a long-term freeze of its nuclear program rather than a full dismantlement of its facilities. Roughly one-fifth of global LNG supply has been disrupted since the conflict began in late February, with hostilities extending to key production assets in Qatar. The situation raised serious concerns for Europe, particularly as the region needs to refill storage ahead of the next winter.

European natural gas futures climbed to €51.2 per MWh, their highest in nearly six weeks, amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. US-Iran peace negotiations remain stalled as both sides maintain firm positions, leaving the strait largely closed. President Donald Trump warned Iran of potential consequences if it failed to swiftly reach a deal, saying his patience was growing thin. A drone attack that caused a fire at a UAE nuclear facility over the weekend also reinforced concerns over the fragility of the ceasefire. Meanwhile, Trump and Chinese President Xi both agreed the key waterway should be open but made no concrete progress toward restoring normal shipping conditions. LNG flows to Europe have been disrupted since the conflict began in late February, particularly after hostilities expanded to key production assets in Qatar. This has raised serious concerns for Europe, particularly as the region needs to refill its tanks before next winter.