Arabica Coffee Futures Hover Around March Lows

2026-04-20 14:13 By Luisa Carvalho 1 min. read

Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.86 per pound, holding close to lowest since early March, pressured by the gradual arrival of the Brazilian harvest and the improved perception of global supply.

However, dealers noted that the pace of trading remains moderate, with producers monitoring weather, prices, exchange rates and margins before moving forward with sales.

According to information from Climatempo, dry weather conditions prevail in the main producing regions between the Southeast and Bahia.

This scenario favors the progress of fieldwork, but keeps attention focused on moisture levels in the crops.

Meanwhile, the geopolitical turmoil continues to impact costs and logistical security, creating a climate of great uncertainty and increasing volatility.

The International Coffee Organisation (ICO) said recently that rising fertilizer prices linked to geopolitical tensions pose a risk of pushing up costs for coffee growers worldwide and could impact production.



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Arabica Coffee Futures Hover Around March Lows
Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.86 per pound, holding close to lowest since early March, pressured by the gradual arrival of the Brazilian harvest and the improved perception of global supply. However, dealers noted that the pace of trading remains moderate, with producers monitoring weather, prices, exchange rates and margins before moving forward with sales. According to information from Climatempo, dry weather conditions prevail in the main producing regions between the Southeast and Bahia. This scenario favors the progress of fieldwork, but keeps attention focused on moisture levels in the crops. Meanwhile, the geopolitical turmoil continues to impact costs and logistical security, creating a climate of great uncertainty and increasing volatility. The International Coffee Organisation (ICO) said recently that rising fertilizer prices linked to geopolitical tensions pose a risk of pushing up costs for coffee growers worldwide and could impact production.
2026-04-20
Arabica Coffee Futures Hover Around 1-Week High
Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.95 per pound, hovering at one-week highs, mainly supported by the Brazilian real's strength, a factor that reduces the country's export competitiveness and tends to limit external supply. Still, expectations for an ample crop this year from top grower Brazil continued to weigh. The market remains focused on weather conditions ahead of next month’s harvest, with crop development so far mostly favorable, reinforcing expectations of strong output. In Colombia, the world’s second-largest arabica producer, output fell 29% year-on-year to 754,000 tonnes in March due to heavy rainfall. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions remained closely monitored due to their potential impact on logistics costs.
2026-04-13
Arabica Coffee Futures at Over 3-Week Low
Arabica coffee futures traded around $2.9 per pound, the lowest in over three weeks, as prospects of ample supply offset the effects of a stronger Brazilian real. According to an analysis by StoneX released on April 6, the global coffee market is expected to register a surplus of approximately 10 million bags in 2026, mainly due to an anticipated record harvest in Brazil, alongside strong production in Vietnam. Brazil is expected to harvest 75.3 million bags in 2026/27, a 20.8% yearly increase, driven by recovery from the previous season's weather damage and structural improvements in production. Global coffee stocks are projected to increase from around 38 million to over 48 million bags by 2026, with Brazilian reserves expected to grow by approximately 5 million bags. In Brazilian coffee fields, producers are moving into the harvest season, with Robusta in its early stages and Arabica approaching its peak harvesting period in the coming months.
2026-04-07