Swiss Franc Holds Firm

The Swiss franc hovered around 0.77 per USD, approaching record levels, driven by safe-haven flows amid renewed trade uncertainties, geopolitical risks and persistent concerns over AI. President Trump pushed ahead with fresh tariffs on the US’s trading partners despite a supreme court blocked part of planned duties. Switzerland’s low debt, stable economy, and predictable policies further attract investors. Meanwhile, reduced prospects for near-term rate cuts continued to support the currency. Swiss inflation stayed at 0.1% in January, holding at the lower end of the SNB’s 0–2% target range and in line with the bank’s Q1 outlook. The central bank (SNB) is expected to keep the current stance in the foreseeable future, as inflation is seen rising gradually and the bar to reintroduce negative rates remains high. SNB President Martin Schlegel recently stated that the central banks is prepared to accept short periods of negative inflation while keeping focus on medium-term targets.

The Swiss franc traded around 0.77 per USD, remaining close to record levels, bolstered by safe-haven flows and reduced expectations of interest rate cuts in the near term. Lingering US-Iran tensions and the lack of progress in nuclear talks fueled fears of potential military action, prompting a flight to safety. Moreover, Russian officials have warned that any US military action against Iran could have serious consequences, feeding into investor concerns and global market uncertainty. Meanwhile, the latest Fed minutes revealed concerns over inflation and dampened hopes of early rate cuts. Domestically, Swiss inflation stayed slightly positive at 0.1% in January, at the lower end of the SNB’s 0–2% target range and in line with the bank’s Q1 outlook. This cemented expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged at the SNB’s March meeting and likely throughout 2026.

The Swiss franc traded around 0.77 per USD, nearing record levels, buoyed by expectations that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will keep an accommodative stance in the near term. Safe-haven demand also continued to support the currency, though less strongly. Swiss inflation stayed slightly positive at 0.1% in January, at the lower end of the SNB’s 0–2% target range and in line with the bank’s Q1 outlook. This cemented expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged at the SNB’s March meeting and likely throughout 2026. President Martin Schlegel recently stated that the SNB is willing to tolerate brief periods of negative inflation while focusing on medium-term objectives, as the threshold for negative rates remains high. Meanwhile, preliminary Q4 GDP data showed 0.2% growth, following a 0.5% contraction in Q3, highlighting the economy’s resilience after Trump’s 39% tariff and reducing pressure for immediate policy easing.