Russia Manufacturing Returns to Growth

Russia’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 in June from 48.8 in May, signaling the first improvement in factory activity in over a year and the strongest operating conditions since January 2025. Output expanded at the fastest pace since January 2025, while new orders stabilized after 12 months of decline. Meanwhile, new export orders fell at the sharpest rate since September 2025. Employment declined further as firms did not replace voluntary leavers, though the pace of job shedding eased markedly from May's record. On prices, both input cost and selling price inflation softened, despite supplier delivery times lengthening to the greatest extent since January 2026 due to logistics disruptions and import challenges following the war in the Middle East. Purchasing activity increased as firms prepared for stronger demand. Lastly, sentiment weakened to a three-month low amid concerns over customers' purchasing power, despite expectations for higher output over the coming year.

Russia’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.8 in May from 48.1 in April, which marked the steepest contraction in four months, while extending the downturn in factory activity to a 12th straight month. The latest reading also signaled the smallest contraction in three months, as output returned to growth. Meanwhile, new orders fell at the fastest pace since July 2025, with new export orders declining at the fastest rate since September 2025. Employment declined solidly, marking the second-fastest rate of job shedding since June 2025. Purchasing activity rose at the fastest pace since the start of 2025, while delivery times lengthened, although the extent of the deterioration was only marginal. On prices, input cost inflation accelerated to the second-sharpest pace since January 2025, driven by higher fuel, metal, and electrical equipment costs. Selling prices rose at the fastest pace since February 2025. Lastly, sentiment weakened amid concerns over customers' purchasing power.

Russia’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI inched down to 48.1 in April from 48.3 in March, marking the eleventh straight month of contraction in factory activity. The latest reading also marked the deepest contraction since last December, due to further declines in output, new orders, and employment, with the latter falling at the quickest pace in four years. A further contraction in foreign sales also weighed on total new orders. Purchasing activity declined further, though the rates of decline in input buying and the depletion of both stocks of purchases and finished goods eased. Meanwhile, delivery times lengthened slightly. On the price front, input cost inflation accelerated to the second-sharpest pace in over a year, driven by higher shipping, logistics, and raw material prices. Selling prices rose faster as higher costs were passed through to clients. Finally, business confidence improved to a seven-month high amid hopes of stronger demand from export markets.