Markets Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Currency 84.75 83.14 82.11 81.11 80.13
Stock Market (points) 2327.43 2195 2112 2033 1956
Government Bond 10Y (%) 16.81 16.72 16.57 16.43 16.29

Overview Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 1.30 1 0.7 1.2 1.4
Unemployment Rate (%) 2.20 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4
Inflation Rate (%) 6.30 6.3 5.5 4.4 4.3
Inflation Rate MoM (%) -0.10 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2
Interest Rate (%) 14.00 13.75 13.5 12.75 12.5
Balance of Trade (USD Million) 13590.00 10500 14200 8600 12050
Current Account (USD Million) 21400.00 19000 13000 19000 17000
Manufacturing PMI (points) 49.80 50.5 50.7 50.4 50.2
Services PMI (points) 51.30 50.8 51.2 50.9 51.5
Business Confidence (points) -0.50 -0.5 -0.9 -0.1 1
Consumer Confidence (points) -16.00 -12 -10 -9 -10
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) 2.00 2.7
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 18.30 20
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.60 -2.8

GDP Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 1.30 1 0.7 1.2 1.4
GDP Constant Prices (RUB Billion) 32457.77 37951 29971 32847 32912
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (RUB Billion) 5256.90 11945 5294 5320 5330
Monthly GDP YoY (%) 0.80 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.5
GDP from Manufacturing (RUB Billion) 5098.30 6199 4558 5159 5170
GDP from Transport (RUB Billion) 2117.10 2226 1871 2143 2147
GDP from Utilities (RUB Billion) 626.70 806 864 634 635
GDP from Agriculture (RUB Billion) 991.50 1430 669 1003 1005
GDP from Construction (RUB Billion) 1542.90 2751 986 1561 1565
GDP from Public Administration (RUB Billion) 2812.90 2652 2931 2847 2852
GDP from Mining (RUB Billion) 3794.40 4185 3701 3840 3848
GDP (USD Billion) 2561.31 2577
GDP per Capita (USD) 11216.25 11284
GDP per Capita PPP (USD) 42357.99 42612
Full Year GDP Growth (%) 1.00 0.6

Labour Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Unemployment Rate (%) 2.20 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4
Employed Persons (Million ) 75.00 74.9 74.8 74.9 75
Unemployed Persons (Million ) 1.60 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5
Wages (RUB/Month) 114743.00 145037 116710 118185 117841
Wages in Manufacturing (RUB/Month) 111009.00 124768 113219 114339 114006
Wage Growth (%) 3.30 3.8 3.6 3 2.7
Minimum Wages (RUB/Month) 27093.00 27093
Population (Million) 146.10 146

Prices Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Inflation Rate (%) 6.30 6.3 5.5 4.4 4.3
Inflation Rate MoM (%) -0.10 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 301.60 306 313 313 315
Core Inflation Rate (%) 5.37 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.5
GDP Deflator (points) 155.54 154 157 162 162
Producer Prices (points) 334.30 331 337 358 351
Producer Prices Change (%) 6.50 7.2 6.9 5 4.9
Food Inflation (%) 5.08 6 5.5 4 3.5
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%) 0.90 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2

Money Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Interest Rate (%) 14.00 13.75 13.5 12.75 12.5
Interbank Rate (%) 16.20 15.95 15.7 14.95 14.7
Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Million) 769022.00 782000 787000 790000 795000
Loans to Private Sector (RUB Million) 85154000.00 83224000 82604210 86175848 86346156
Deposit Interest Rate (%) 13.05 12.8 12.55 11.8 11.55

Trade Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Balance of Trade (USD Million) 13590.00 10500 14200 8600 12050
Current Account (USD Million) 21400.00 19000 13000 19000 17000
Imports (USD Million) 31415.00 34800 27800 26000 28100
Exports (USD Million) 45010.00 45300 42000 34600 40150
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K) 9582.00 9950 10150 9975 10150
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) 2.00 2.7

Business Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Manufacturing PMI (points) 49.80 50.5 50.7 50.4 50.2
Services PMI (points) 51.30 50.8 51.2 50.9 51.5
Business Confidence (points) -0.50 -0.5 -0.9 -0.1 1
Industrial Production (%) -0.60 0.7 1.5 2.8 3
Manufacturing Production (%) -0.50 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.3
Composite PMI (points) 50.80 50.5 50.2 51 51.3
Corporate Profits (RUB Billion) 13028.00 26300 5550 9930 19000

Consumer Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Consumer Confidence (points) -16.00 -12 -10 -9 -10
Retail Sales YoY (%) 3.30 3.5 3.2 3 2.7
Consumer Spending (RUB Billion) 19386.40 20927 19522 19619 19658
Consumer Credit (RUB Million) 37400447.00 36377388 36724599 37631548 37924053
Bank Lending Rate (%) 16.78 16.53 16.28 15.53 15.28
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.88 0.92 0.96 1 1.04

Housing Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Housing Starts (Million Square Metre) 7.50 11 15 12 9

Government Actual Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27 Q3/27
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 18.30 20
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.60 -2.8