Markets Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Stock Market (points) 2249.74 2175 2076 2004 1935
Currency 81.31 78.99 77.77 76.87 75.98
Government Bond 10Y (%) 15.80 15.6 15.41 15.27 15.14

Overview Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -0.20 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2
Unemployment Rate (%) 2.20 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3
Inflation Rate (%) 6.00 5.6 5.5 4.7 4.4
Inflation Rate MoM (%) 0.90 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
Interest Rate (%) 14.00 14 13.75 13.5 12.75
Balance of Trade (USD Million) 14150.00 12400 10500 14200 8600
Current Account (USD Million) 12200.00 12000 12800 13000 7800
Services PMI (points) 48.20 49 50.8 51.2 50.9
Manufacturing PMI (points) 50.70 50.3 50.5 50.7 50.4
Business Confidence (points) -1.20 -1 -0.5 -0.9 -0.1
Consumer Confidence (points) -13.00 -14 -12 -10 -9
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) 2.00 2.7
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 18.30 20
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.60 -2.8

GDP Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -0.20 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2
GDP Constant Prices (RUB Billion) 29762.60 34094 37801 29971 30120
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (RUB Billion) 5256.90 8173 11898 5294 5320
Monthly GDP YoY (%) 1.10 1 0.5 0.5 1.5
GDP from Mining (RUB Billion) 3674.90 3869 4168 3701 3719
GDP from Manufacturing (RUB Billion) 4526.30 5320 6175 4558 4581
GDP from Transport (RUB Billion) 1857.90 2078 2217 1871 1880
GDP from Public Administration (RUB Billion) 2911.00 2703 2642 2931 2946
GDP from Agriculture (RUB Billion) 664.40 2164 1424 669 672
GDP from Utilities (RUB Billion) 857.50 581 802 864 868
GDP from Construction (RUB Billion) 979.50 1696 2740 986 991
GDP (USD Billion) 2561.31 2572
GDP per Capita (USD) 11216.25 11261
GDP per Capita PPP (USD) 42357.99 42527
Full Year GDP Growth (%) 1.00 0.4

Labour Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Unemployment Rate (%) 2.20 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3
Employed Persons (Million ) 74.80 75.3 75.4 75 75.6
Unemployed Persons (Million ) 1.70 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5
Wages (RUB/Month) 110216.00 100799 146015 116710 113522
Wages in Manufacturing (RUB/Month) 108251.00 102243 125610 113219 111499
Wage Growth (%) 4.50 4.8 4.5 3.6 3
Minimum Wages (RUB/Month) 27093.00 27093
Population (Million) 146.10 146

Prices Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Inflation Rate (%) 6.00 5.6 5.5 4.7 4.4
Inflation Rate MoM (%) 0.90 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 300.10 301 304 311 313
Core Inflation Rate (%) 5.02 5.1 5.2 5.4 4.9
GDP Deflator (points) 149.01 151 152 156 156
Producer Prices (points) 340.60 345 336 337 361
Producer Prices Change (%) 10.50 9.5 9 7.1 6
Food Inflation (%) 3.40 3.6 3.4 3 3.1
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%) -0.10 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3

Money Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Interest Rate (%) 14.00 14 13.75 13.5 12.75
Interbank Rate (%) 16.20 16.2 15.95 15.7 14.95
Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Million) 720447.00 740000 735000 730000 725000
Loans to Private Sector (RUB Million) 83640000.00 79059330 82894400 82604210 84643680
Deposit Interest Rate (%) 13.01 13.01 12.76 12.51 11.76

Trade Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Balance of Trade (USD Million) 14150.00 12400 10500 14200 8600
Current Account (USD Million) 12200.00 12000 12800 13000 7800
Imports (USD Million) 28737.00 27000 34800 27800 26000
Exports (USD Million) 42891.00 39400 45300 42000 34600
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K) 9976.61 9900 9950 10150 9975
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) 2.00 2.7

Business Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Services PMI (points) 48.20 49 50.8 51.2 50.9
Manufacturing PMI (points) 50.70 50.3 50.5 50.7 50.4
Business Confidence (points) -1.20 -1 -0.5 -0.9 -0.1
Industrial Production (%) 0.60 1 2.7 3.5 3.8
Manufacturing Production (%) 2.60 4.5 4 4.2 4.5
Composite PMI (points) 48.90 49.8 50.5 50.2 51
Corporate Profits (RUB Billion) 11300.00 16900 26300 5550 9930

Consumer Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Consumer Confidence (points) -13.00 -14 -12 -10 -9
Retail Sales YoY (%) 7.30 5 3.5 3.2 3
Consumer Spending (RUB Billion) 19386.40 20405 20845 19522 19619
Consumer Credit (RUB Million) 36828565.00 35501432 36233319 36724599 37270508
Bank Lending Rate (%) 17.23 17.23 16.98 16.73 15.98
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.93 1.04 0.87 0.87 0.87

Housing Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Housing Starts (Million Square Metre) 42.80 19 21 24.4 24.6

Government Actual Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27 Q2/27
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 18.30 20
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.60 -2.8