Markets Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Stock Market (points) 2243.47 2412 2276 2206 2139
Government Bond 10Y (%) 15.86 15.43 15.2 15.08 14.96

Overview Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -0.20 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7
Unemployment Rate (%) 2.20 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4
Inflation Rate (%) 5.30 5.2 4.6 4.5 4.2
Inflation Rate MoM (%) 0.20 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3
Interest Rate (%) 14.25 14.25 14 14 12
Balance of Trade (USD Million) 11431.00 14500 11400 9500 14200
Current Account (USD Million) 12200.00 8000 12000 12800 13000
Services PMI (points) 48.70 49 50.8 51.2 50.9
Manufacturing PMI (points) 48.80 48.5 49.1 49.4 48.8
Business Confidence (points) -1.00 0.2 0.1 -0.5 0.4
Consumer Confidence (points) -13.00 -16 -14 -12 -10
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) 2.00 2.7
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 18.30 20
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.60 -2.8

GDP Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -0.20 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7
GDP Constant Prices (RUB Billion) 29762.60 32186 34094 37801 29971
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (RUB Billion) 11827.20 7380 8173 11898 11910
Monthly GDP YoY (%) 1.30 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.2
GDP from Mining (RUB Billion) 3674.90 3862 3869 4168 3701
GDP from Manufacturing (RUB Billion) 4526.30 5046 5320 6175 4558
GDP from Transport (RUB Billion) 1857.90 2040 2078 2217 1871
GDP from Agriculture (RUB Billion) 664.40 1000 2164 1424 669
GDP from Utilities (RUB Billion) 857.50 636 581 802 864
GDP from Construction (RUB Billion) 979.50 1559 1696 2740 986
GDP from Public Administration (RUB Billion) 2911.00 2709 2703 2642 2931
GDP (USD Billion) 2173.84 2183
GDP per Capita (USD) 11043.26 11087
GDP per Capita PPP (USD) 41704.71 41872
Full Year GDP Growth (%) 1.00 0.4

Labour Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Unemployment Rate (%) 2.20 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4
Employed Persons (Million ) 74.60 74.5 74.4 74.3 74.3
Unemployed Persons (Million ) 1.70 1.5 1.58 1.61 1.61
Wages (RUB/Month) 112654.00 106175 98779 143220 115245
Wages in Manufacturing (RUB/Month) 109285.20 102858 100195 123206 111799
Wage Growth (%) 8.10 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3
Minimum Wages (RUB/Month) 27093.00 31157
Population (Million) 146.10 146

Prices Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Inflation Rate (%) 5.30 5.2 4.6 4.5 4.2
Inflation Rate MoM (%) 0.20 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 297.80 298 298 301 309
Core Inflation Rate (%) 4.90 5.1 5.3 5 4.7
GDP Deflator (points) 149.01 145 150 151 155
Producer Prices (points) 353.80 333 345 339 350
Producer Prices Change (%) 9.40 8 9.5 10 11
Food Inflation (%) 2.86 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%) 2.50 1 0.2 0.3 0.4

Money Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Interest Rate (%) 14.25 14.25 14 14 12
Interbank Rate (%) 16.20 16.2 15.95 15.95 13.95
Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Million) 758678.00 748000 740000 735000 730000
Loans to Private Sector (RUB Million) 82030000.00 76192080 79059330 82894400 82604210
Deposit Interest Rate (%) 13.43 13.43 13.18 13.18 11.18

Trade Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Balance of Trade (USD Million) 11431.00 14500 11400 9500 14200
Current Account (USD Million) 12200.00 8000 12000 12800 13000
Imports (USD Million) 27395.00 25000 28000 30800 25800
Exports (USD Million) 38827.00 39500 39400 40300 40000
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K) 9976.55 9450 9700 9950 10150
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) 2.00 2.7

Business Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Services PMI (points) 48.70 49 50.8 51.2 50.9
Manufacturing PMI (points) 48.80 48.5 49.1 49.4 48.8
Business Confidence (points) -1.00 0.2 0.1 -0.5 0.4
Industrial Production (%) -0.70 2.5 2.7 3.5 3.8
Manufacturing Production (%) 0.50 3.7 4.5 4 4.2
Composite PMI (points) 49.20 49.5 49.8 50.5 50.2
Corporate Profits (RUB Billion) 5190.00 10300 16900 26300 5550

Consumer Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Consumer Confidence (points) -13.00 -16 -14 -12 -10
Retail Sales YoY (%) 6.50 4.7 4 3.5 3.2
Consumer Spending (RUB Billion) 20720.20 19254 20405 20845 20865
Consumer Credit (RUB Million) 36577219.00 34893340 35501432 36233319 36724599
Bank Lending Rate (%) 17.56 17.56 17.31 17.31 15.31
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.95 1.22 1.04 0.87 0.87

Housing Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Housing Starts (Million Square Metre) 29.40 23.7 19 21 24.4

Government Actual Q2/26 Q3/26 Q4/26 Q1/27
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 18.30 20
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.60 -2.8