Romania Inflation Eases More Than Expected

2026-07-13 06:27 By Nicole Aliyah 1 min. read

The annual inflation rate in Romania fell to a three-month low of 10.4% in June 2026, more than the expected easing to 10.6% and down from 10.9% in May, as the effects of last year's tax hikes continued to fade.

Still, inflation remains elevated and the outlook for monetary easing is clouded by volatile oil prices.

Food inflation slowed to 5.8% vs 6.8% in May, driven by lower prices for fruit and canned fruit (-9.5% vs 5.5%), vegetables and canned vegetables (-2.6% vs 0.6%), alongside slower increases in oil, lard, fats (6.0% vs 6.1%).

Inflation for non-food goods also moderated (12.3% vs 12.5%), reflecting slower price growth for fuels (16.0% vs. 19.2%), chemicals (7.7% vs. 8.2%), tobacco and cigarettes (6.8% vs. 7.4%).

Meanwhile, service inflation accelerated slightly (13.7% vs 13.5%).

On a monthly basis, consumer prices ticked down to 0.1% in June, slowing from a 0.6% increase in May.

Meanwhile, the HICP-based annual inflation rate eased to 9.2% from 9.7% in May.



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Romania Inflation Eases More Than Expected
The annual inflation rate in Romania fell to a three-month low of 10.4% in June 2026, more than the expected easing to 10.6% and down from 10.9% in May, as the effects of last year's tax hikes continued to fade. Still, inflation remains elevated and the outlook for monetary easing is clouded by volatile oil prices. Food inflation slowed to 5.8% vs 6.8% in May, driven by lower prices for fruit and canned fruit (-9.5% vs 5.5%), vegetables and canned vegetables (-2.6% vs 0.6%), alongside slower increases in oil, lard, fats (6.0% vs 6.1%). Inflation for non-food goods also moderated (12.3% vs 12.5%), reflecting slower price growth for fuels (16.0% vs. 19.2%), chemicals (7.7% vs. 8.2%), tobacco and cigarettes (6.8% vs. 7.4%). Meanwhile, service inflation accelerated slightly (13.7% vs 13.5%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices ticked down to 0.1% in June, slowing from a 0.6% increase in May. Meanwhile, the HICP-based annual inflation rate eased to 9.2% from 9.7% in May.
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The inflation rate in Romania rose 10.9% year-on-year in May 2026 from 10.7% in the previous month, hitting the highest level since April 2023. Prices rose for non-food goods (12.5% vs 12% in April), particularly household products, furniture (5.3% vs 5.2%), chemicals (8.2% vs 7.6%), cultural and sporting products (8.5% vs 8.1%), hygiene, cosmetic and medical items (6.2% vs 5.9%), and fuels (19.2% vs 15.7%), while costs also increased for services (13.5% vs 13%). Conversely, inflation slowed for food products (6.8% vs 7.4%), weighed down by slower increases in milling and bakery products (7.3% vs 7.8%), fruit and canned fruit (5.5% vs 9.6%), sugar, confectionery and honey (10.6% vs 11.1%), cocoa and coffee (21.1% vs 22.5%), and alcoholic beverages (7.7% vs 7.9%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices eased 0.6% in May from 0.8% increase in the previous month. Meanwhile, the HICP-based annual inflation rate rose to 9.7% from 9.5% in April.
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Romania Inflation Rate Rise the Most Since 2023
The inflation rate in Romania rose by 10.7% year-on-year in April 2026 from 9.9% in the previous month, matching market expectations. This marked the highest level since April 2023, driven mainly by higher costs in non-food goods (12.02% vs 10.89% in March), particularly in clothing, hosiery, trimmings, and haberdashery (7.10% vs 7.05%), cultural and sporting products (8.13% vs 7.81%), and fuels (15.65% vs 12.93%). At the same time, prices increased in services (13.04% vs 11.05%). In contrast, price growth moderated for food products (7.39% vs 7.67%), weighed down by lower costs in milling and bakery products (7.82% vs 8.60%), fruit and tinned fruit (9.61% vs 11.79%), and meat and meat products (5.98% vs 6.46%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices grew by 0.84% in April, following a 0.78% rise in the preceding period. Meanwhile, the HICP-based annual inflation rate rose to 9.5% from 9% in the previous month.
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