Portugal GDP Growth Rate Confirmed at 0.8% in Q3

The Portuguese economy expanded 0.9% on quarter in Q4 2025, the strongest performance in a year, above initial estimates of 0.8% and compared to a downwardly revised 0.6% in Q3. The contribution of net external demand turned positive (+1.1 pp vs -0.9 pp), reflecting declines in both exports and imports of goods and services, with the decrease being more pronounced for imports. On the other hand, the contribution of domestic demand was -0.2 pp (compared with +1.5 pp in the previous quarter), driven by a decline in investment and a slowdown in final consumption expenditure. On an annual basis, the economy grew 1.9% in Q4, slowing from a downwardly revised 2.2% in Q3 but matching initial estimates. For the full year 2025, Portuguese GDP expanded 1.9%, slightly below 2.2% in 2024. Domestic demand supported the growth, driven by faster final consumption, while net external demand weighed more heavily, as exports of goods and services slowed more sharply than imports.

Portugal’s economy expanded 0.8% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2025, accelerating from a downwardly revised 0.7% in the previous quarter and surpassing market expectations of 0.5%, according to a preliminary estimate. This marked the strongest quarterly pace in a year, supported by net external demand, amid a sharp decline in imports of goods and services, particularly crude oil. By contrast, domestic demand weighed on growth, reflecting a slump in investment and slower household consumption growth. On an annual basis, the economy grew 1.9% in Q4, down from 2.3% in Q3. For the full year 2025, Portuguese GDP expanded 1.9%, slightly below 2.1% in 2024.

The Portuguese economy grew by 0.8% in the third quarter of 2025, its strongest performance in three quarters, after a 0.7% expansion in Q2 and in line with the preliminary estimate. Domestic demand rose by 1.4%, the fastest pace in a year, up from 0.9% in the previous quarter, supported by stronger private consumption and investment. The contribution of net external demand became more negative (from -0.3 p.p. to -0.6 p.p.), as exports rebounded (0.8% vs. -0.1%) but were outpaced by a sharper rise in imports (2% vs. 0.5%). On a year-on-year basis, GDP increased 2.4%, also the strongest in three quarters, after a 1.8% rise in Q2. The negative contribution of net external demand was less pronounced, reflecting a slowdown in imports (3.7% vs. 4.6%) alongside a recovery in exports (1.2% vs. -0.1%). Meanwhile, the positive contribution of domestic demand eased, driven by weaker investment growth.