Lithium Extends Plunge from 1-Year High

Lithium carbonate prices in China rose past CNY 160,000 per tonne in April, the highest in nearly one month and gaining 40% since the start of the year amid bullish demand expectations in the near and longer terms. The surge in crude oil and product prices since the start of March supported the outlook for larger economies to favor new energy vehicles, which use batteries that take lithium as a major input. Likewise, BYD forecasted it will sell 1.5 million units overseas this year, revised higher from the January estimate of 1.3 million units. Demand also remained supported by Chinese investment in power infrastructure, recently exemplified by the announcement of higher power storage spending. This was combined with Beijing stating it would double national EV charging capacity to 180 gigawatts by 2027, supporting lithium-rich energy storage systems. In the meantime, Zimbabwe suspended exports of lithium concentrates and other raw materials to stimulate refining in the county.

Lithium carbonate prices in China rose to CNY 165,000 per tonne in late March, the highest in nearly one month and gaining over 40% since the start of the year amid bullish demand expectations in the near and longer terms. The surge in crude oil and product prices since the start of March supported the outlook for larger economies to favor new energy vehicles, which use batteries that take lithium as a major input. Demand also remained supported by Chinese investment in power infrastructure, recently exemplified by the announcement of higher power storage spending. This was combined with Beijing stating it would double national EV charging capacity to 180 gigawatts by 2027, supporting lithium-rich energy storage systems. In the meantime, Zimbabwe suspended exports of lithium concentrates and other raw materials to increase its pressure on consumers to set up their refining operations in the country.

Lithium carbonate prices in China fell to CNY 150,000 per tonne in March, their lowest in a month, amid signs of a momentary pullback in battery demand. Electric vehicle sales by top Chinese manufacturer BYD tanked 40% annually in February, a reversal from the growing trend in the previous months to raise concerns that the Chinese EV market may be slowing. The data magnifies worries that higher energy costs due to war in the Middle East could hamper large manufacturers from building input goods inventories, driving industrial metals to pull back. Still, Chinese supply was also expected to remain muted due to Beijing's anti-involution campaign. Authorities have already canceled 27 mining permits in the lithium hub of Jiangxi, aligned with the earlier suspension of activity in CATL's Jianxiawo lithium mine. Also, Zimbabwe suspended exports of lithium concentrates to put pressure on consumers to set up their refining operations in the country.