Markets Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Currency 26.86 26.92 27.1 27.27 27.45 27.81
Stock Market (points) 500.14 490 481 471 462 444

Overview Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
GDP Growth Rate (%) -0.80 -5 -2 0.7 0.5 0.8
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -1.50 -22 -14 -7 -1.5 2
Unemployment Rate (%) 8.70 9.5 10.5 11 11.2 10.1
Inflation Rate (%) 2.10 3.5 4 6 5 3.5
Interest Rate (%) 8.00 8 8 7 7 7
Balance of Trade (USD Million) -636.50 -630 -1300 -970 -970 -830
Current Account (USD Million) -389.00 -140 -1380 -180 -180 -220
Current Account to GDP (%) -3.60 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -3 -3
Government Debt to GDP (%) 60.90 72 72 72 75 75
Government Budget (% of GDP) -1.90 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -5.6 -5.6
Retail Sales Mom (%) -23.00 -0.5 -5 16.5 13.5 17.6
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 18.00 18 18 18 18 18
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 18.00 18 18 18 18 18

GDP Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
GDP Growth Rate (%) -0.80 -5 -2 0.7 0.5 0.8
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -1.50 -22 -14 -7 -1.5 2
GDP (USD Billion) 140.00 151 151 151 159 159
GDP Constant Prices (UAH Million) 698297.00 237379 294262 649416 687823 662405
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (UAH Million) 206683.00 48197 57996 192215 203583 196059
GDP per capita (USD) 3110.20 3500 3500 3500 3700 3700
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 9233.15 8700 8700 8700 8077 9000
GDP From Agriculture (UAH Million) 92961.00 12573 56389 86454 91567 88183
GDP From Construction (UAH Million) 27053.00 8105 8847 25159 26647 25662
GDP From Manufacturing (UAH Million) 83423.00 26687 25084 77583 82172 79135
GDP From Mining (UAH Million) 30832.00 10976 11606 28674 30370 29247
GDP From Public Administration (UAH Million) 31015.00 12791 12798 28844 30550 29421
GDP From Services (UAH Million) 90756.00 35294 33638 84403 89395 86091
GDP From Transport (UAH Million) 44449.00 20984 21908 41338 43782 42164
GDP From Utilities (UAH Million) 1955.00 713 765 1818 1926 1855

Labour Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Unemployment Rate (%) 8.70 9.5 10.5 11 11.2 10.1
Wages (UAH/Month) 11446.00 12379 12215 13981 12366 15659
Wage Growth (%) 11.81 14.8 14.3 14 14 12
Population (Million) 41.98 41.05 41.05 41.84 40.56 41.65
Retirement Age Women 58.50 59.5 59.5 59.5 59.5 59.5
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60
Living Wage Family (UAH/Month) 6610.00 7588 7555 7535 7535 8440
Living Wage Individual (UAH/Month) 4690.00 5384 5361 5347 5347 5988
Minimum Wages (UAH/Month) 4173.00 4250 4250 4250 4250 4400
Wages High Skilled (UAH/Month) 5720.00 6567 6538 6521 6521 7303
Wages Low Skilled (UAH/Month) 3680.00 4225 4206 4195 4195 4699

Prices Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Inflation Rate (%) 2.10 3.5 4 6 5 3.5
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 100.80 103 105 106 106 109
Core Consumer Prices (points) 103.10 113 112 109 108 115
Core Inflation Rate (%) 3.10 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.5
Producer Prices (points) 355.60 373 377 351 359 363
Producer Prices Change (%) -2.60 2.5 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.6
Food Inflation (%) 1.80 3.6 4.5 5.2 5.5 5.7
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.80 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
CPI Transportation (points) 100.30 104 104 105 106 109

Money Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Interest Rate (%) 8.00 8 8 7 7 7
Interbank Rate (%) 11.75 12.05 12.05 12.05 12.05 12.05
Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Million) 25700.00 20800 21000 22500 22500 23500
Deposit Interest Rate (%) 7.68 7.38 7.38 7.38 7.38 7.38

Trade Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Balance of Trade (USD Million) -636.50 -630 -1300 -970 -970 -830
Current Account (USD Million) -389.00 -140 -1380 -180 -180 -220
Current Account to GDP (%) -3.60 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -3 -3
Imports (USD Million) 4773.50 4550 5200 5300 5300 5300
Exports (USD Million) 4137.00 3920 3900 4330 4330 4330

Government Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Government Debt to GDP (%) 60.90 72 72 72 75 75
Government Budget (% of GDP) -1.90 -7.5 -7.5 -7.5 -5.6 -5.6
Government Budget Value (UAH Million) 32732.72 23791 23791 24884 24884 25006
Government Spending (UAH Million) 128189.00 50094 46561 119216 126266 121600

Taxes Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 18.00 18 18 18 18 18
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 18.00 18 18 18 18 18
Sales Tax Rate (%) 20.00 20 20 20 20 20
Social Security Rate (%) 22.00 22 22 22 22 22
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 22.00 22 22 22 22 22
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0

Business Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Industrial Production (%) -16.20 -31 -15.5 -1.3 7.5 6.5
Industrial Production Mom (%) -12.70 0.6 1.8 1 1 1.1

Consumer Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021
Retail Sales Mom (%) -23.00 -0.5 -5 16.5 13.5 17.6
Retail Sales Yoy (%) -14.90 -14.5 -6.4 -4.8 1.5 6.1
Consumer Spending (UAH Million) 609161.00 195559 222063 566520 600024 577850
Bank Lending Rate (%) 14.96 13.95 13.95 13.95 13.95 13.95
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.81 0.84 0.79 0.75 0.72 0.68
Consumer Credit (UAH Million) 181475.16 150520 161982 161542 178753 164773


This page has economic forecasts for Ukraine including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Ukraine economy.