Singapore Revises Up Q3 GDP Growth, Raises 2025 Outlook

Singapore’s economy expanded 5.7% year-on-year in Q4 2025, up from an upwardly revised 4.3% in Q3, marking the strongest growth since the third quarter of 2024, preliminary data showed. The acceleration in growth was mainly supported by the manufacturing sector, which surged 15% year-on-year, accelerating sharply from 4.9% in Q3, driven by output expansions in the biomedical manufacturing and electronics clusters. Meanwhile, construction sector growth eased to 4.2% from 5.1%. Among the services sectors, wholesale and retail trade and transportation and storage advanced 3.9%, following a 3.7% expansion in Q3. On a quarterly basis, the economy grew 1.9%, after a 2.4% expansion in the previous quarter. For the full year, GDP advanced 4.8%, accelerating from 4.4% growth in 2024. The latest data release did not include any forecasts for 2026. The ministry had previously forecast 2026 GDP growth at 1.0% to 3.0%.

Singapore’s economy expanded 4.2% year-on-year in Q3 2025, down from an upwardly revised 4.7% in Q2. The latest print was above the flash estimate of 2.9%, mainly supported by growth in the manufacturing, wholesale trade, and finance & insurance sectors. The manufacturing sector grew 5.0% (vs 5.1%), mainly supported by electronics, transport engineering, and biomedical manufacturing clusters. Meanwhile, growth in the construction sector (3.6% vs 6.2%) and wholesale trade (3.9% vs 6.9%) all moderated. By contrast, retail trade (2.5% vs 0.6%) and accommodation (4.9% vs 2.1%) both accelerated. The finance & insurance sectors advanced 4.6%, accelerating from 4.2% in Q2, driven mainly by the banking and other auxiliary activities segments. For the first three quarters of 2025, Singapore’s GDP growth averaged 4.3% yoy. Meanwhile, the trade ministry raised its 2025 growth forecast to around 4%, up from the earlier projection of 1.5%–2.5%, following better-than-expected Q3 figures.

Singapore’s economy expanded 2.9% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025, slowing from an upwardly revised 4.5% in Q2 as weakness in manufacturing weighed on overall performance. The latest reading marked the slowest pace of growth in two years, though it still exceeded market expectations of a 2% increase. The manufacturing sector was broadly flat compared to a year earlier, a sharp slowdown from the 5% expansion seen in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the construction sector grew 3.1% in Q3, moderating from a 6.2% gain in Q2 as public and private sector projects progressed more gradually. Among the services industries, the wholesale & retail trade and transportation & storage sectors together expanded by 2.5%, easing from 4.9% growth in the prior quarter. The latest figures underscore the challenges facing Singapore’s open economy as it contends with higher US tariffs on exports, with trade restrictions on pharmaceuticals and electronics taking a heavy toll on external demand.