Arabica Coffee Futures Inch Higher

2026-10-13 09:28 By Luisa Carvalho 1 min. read

Arabica coffee futures rose to around $2.92 per pound, extending a mild recovery after hitting a two-week low of $2.87 on October 9, partly on signs of tighter supplies from Colombia, the world's second-largest arabica producer.

Colombia's Coffee Federation recently reported that coffee production fell 15% yoy to 12.65 million bags in the 2025/26 season, while exports declined 12% to 11.78 million bags.

Meanwhile, concerns that El Niño could hurt Brazil's next coffee crop are providing additional support to prices.

Coffee trader Commercial said the weather pattern could delay rainfall in Brazil during September and October, when coffee trees typically flower, potentially threatening the 2026/27 crop.

Despite ample supplies from Brazil's recently harvested 2026 crop and solid export availability, traders are increasingly focused on the next season.

Rainfall across key growing regions will be crucial for flowering and fruit set, ultimately shaping the 2027 crop's production potential.



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Arabica Coffee Futures Inch Higher
Arabica coffee futures rose to around $2.92 per pound, extending a mild recovery after hitting a two-week low of $2.87 on October 9, partly on signs of tighter supplies from Colombia, the world's second-largest arabica producer. Colombia's Coffee Federation recently reported that coffee production fell 15% yoy to 12.65 million bags in the 2025/26 season, while exports declined 12% to 11.78 million bags. Meanwhile, concerns that El Niño could hurt Brazil's next coffee crop are providing additional support to prices. Coffee trader Commercial said the weather pattern could delay rainfall in Brazil during September and October, when coffee trees typically flower, potentially threatening the 2026/27 crop. Despite ample supplies from Brazil's recently harvested 2026 crop and solid export availability, traders are increasingly focused on the next season. Rainfall across key growing regions will be crucial for flowering and fruit set, ultimately shaping the 2027 crop's production potential.
2026-10-13
Arabica Coffee Futures Falls From 1-Month High
Arabica coffee futures fell below $2.95 per pound, after reaching its highest level since early September, as expectations of ample supply from Brazil helped ease concerns over next year's crops. The 2026 harvest from the world's top coffee producer, Brazil, is seen at record numbers, with supply estimated at 67.6 million processed bags, up 19.6% from the previous year. Additionally, exports from Brazil in September jumped to its highest level of shippping volume in 20 months, reinforcing expectations of strong output. Meanwhile, Hedgepoint Global Markets estimates a global surplus of 8.9 million bags for the current crop year. Still, concerns over the El Niño phenomenon continue to underpin prices. With rains returning to most producing regions, growers are entering the fertilizer application period for the 2027/28 crop, although producers currently have reduced purchasing power over the input.
2026-10-07
Coffee Hits 4-week High
Coffee increased to 300.55 USd/Lbs, the highest since September 2026. Over the past 4 weeks, Coffee gained 2.72%, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 20.29%.
2026-10-06