Brunei GDP Growth Hits 5-Quarter High in Q4

2026-03-30 02:27 By Farida Husna 1 min. read

Brunei’s economy grew 4.5% yoy in Q4 2025, accelerating from a marginal 0.03% rise in the prior period and marking the fastest expansion in five quarters.

Industrial activity surged 8.3% (vs 0.3% in Q3), supported by stronger oil and gas output alongside faster production of LNG and other petroleum and chemical products.

Agricultural growth also picked up to 5.7% (vs 1.8%), reflecting gains in vegetables, fruits & other crops, as well as forestry.

In contrast, the services sector remained weak (-1.0% vs -0.5%), weighed by weaker wholesale and retail trade, water transport, other transport services, finance, and business services.

On the expenditure side, household consumption rebounded (4.4% vs -5.0%), while net exports added positively as export growth accelerated (7.1% vs 4.6%) and imports fell at a slower pace (-3.1% vs -21.6%).

However, government spending (-9.2% vs -3.0%) and fixed investment (-1.4% vs -0.1%) fell further.

Quarterly, GDP rose 10.8%, much stronger than 5.4% in Q3.



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Brunei GDP Growth Hits 5-Quarter High in Q4
Brunei’s economy grew 4.5% yoy in Q4 2025, accelerating from a marginal 0.03% rise in the prior period and marking the fastest expansion in five quarters. Industrial activity surged 8.3% (vs 0.3% in Q3), supported by stronger oil and gas output alongside faster production of LNG and other petroleum and chemical products. Agricultural growth also picked up to 5.7% (vs 1.8%), reflecting gains in vegetables, fruits & other crops, as well as forestry. In contrast, the services sector remained weak (-1.0% vs -0.5%), weighed by weaker wholesale and retail trade, water transport, other transport services, finance, and business services. On the expenditure side, household consumption rebounded (4.4% vs -5.0%), while net exports added positively as export growth accelerated (7.1% vs 4.6%) and imports fell at a slower pace (-3.1% vs -21.6%). However, government spending (-9.2% vs -3.0%) and fixed investment (-1.4% vs -0.1%) fell further. Quarterly, GDP rose 10.8%, much stronger than 5.4% in Q3.
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Brunei’s economy stabilized in Q3 2025, up marginally by 0.03% yoy after contracting in the prior three quarters. The services sector shrank at a slower pace (-0.5% vs -2.4% in Q2), helped by growth in air transport, finance, real estate, and other transport services. Meanwhile, industrial activity slowed (0.3% vs. 1.1%), weighed by softer oil and gas output, declines in food and beverage manufacturing, other manufacturing, and construction. Agricultural growth eased sharply (1.8% vs. 5.0%) amid further drops in fruits, vegetables, other agricultural products, and forestry. Expenditure-wise, fixed investment improved (-0.1% vs -9.5%). Net trade lifted growth as exports recovered (4.6% vs -15.6%) while imports fell further (-21.6% vs -17.8%). Household consumption stayed weak (-5.0% vs -3.2%), while government spending fell for the first time in five quarters (-3.0% vs 12.0%). On a quarterly basis, GDP rebounded 5.4%, swinging from a marginally revised 5.6% fall in Q2.
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Brunei Q2 GDP Contracts at Slowest Pace in 3 Quarters
Brunei’s economy contracted 0.3% yoy in Q2 2025, easing from a 1.8% decline in Q1 and marking the third consecutive quarter of contraction. The latest figure also represented the softest decrease in the sequence. The industry sector rebounded (1.1% vs -2.5% in Q1), mainly boosted by higher oil and gas output. Agricultural output also surged (5.0% vs -11.7%), driven by livestock, poultry, and fisheries. In contrast, services activity declined further (-2.4% vs -0.6%), weighed by weak wholesale and retail trade, finance, hotels, and business services. On the expenditure side, government expenditure picked up strongly (12.0% vs 0.8%). Meanwhile, exports dropped 15.6% and imports slipped 17.8%, yet net trade still contributed positively to growth. Simultaneously, household spending remained subdued (-3.2% vs -3.0%), and fixed investment continued to contract (-9.5% vs -13.2%). On a quarterly basis, the GDP contracted 5.7%, deepening from a 5.1% drop in Q1.
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