Kenya Q3 GDP Growth Remains Robust at 4.9%

The economy of Kenya expanded by 4.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, following a 5% advance in the previous period, amid improved performance across several sectors. The agriculture sector, rising 3.2% and accounting for roughly a quarter of GDP, remained the primary driver of growth, underpinned by stronger milk production and robust cut-flower exports. Other key contributors included accommodation and food services (+17.7%), mining and quarrying (+16.6%), construction (+6.7%), real estate (+5.7%), financial and insurance activities (+5.4%), transport and storage (+5.2%), public administration (+5.1%), wholesale and retail trade (4.8%), and information and communication (+4.5%). On a seasonally adjusted basis, the GDP expanded by 1.2% in Q3, the same pace as in the previous period.

The economy of Kenya advanced by 5% year-on-year in Q2 2025, following a 4.9% growth in the previous three-month period. The expansion was largely fueled by strong performance in the key agricultural sector (+4.4% vs 6% in Q1), amid higher production of coffee, vegetables, fruits, cut flowers, and milk. Other sectors also supported growth, notably transportation and storage (+5.4% vs 3.8%); finance and insurance (+6.6% vs +5.1%); accommodation & food services (+7.8% vs 4.1%); professional, administrative & support services (8.5% vs 4.6%) and information & communication (+6% vs +5.8%). On a seasonally adjusted basis, the GDP expanded by 1.2% in Q2, following a 0.8% rise in the previous period.

Kenya's economy advanced by 4.9% in Q1 2025, after a 5.1% expansion in Q4 2024. Growth was broad-based, with particularly strong performance in the key agricultural sector, where output rose by 6.0% thanks to favorable weather conditions. Timely rains in late 2024 and early 2025 led to better harvests of tea, coffee, and maize. Alongside this, government initiatives—like farm input subsidies and the Hustler Fund's affordable loans—further enhanced productivity across the sector. Other contributors included ICT (5.8%), wholesale and retail trade (5.4%), real estate (5.3%), financial & insurance (5.1%), and public administration (6.5%). Professional services and transport grew by 4.6% and 3.8%, respectively, while accommodation & food services added 4.1%. Mining surged 10%, construction increased 3%, and manufacturing rose 2.1%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the GDP rose by 0.8% in Q1, the least in a year, following a downwardly revised 1.7% rise in Q4 2024.