Zambia - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Zambia including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Zambia economy.


Overview Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 7.79 7.6 7.4 7.45 7.5 7.7 percent
Inflation Rate 7.40 8.4 6.1 6.2 7 5.8 percent
Interest Rate 9.75 9.75 9.75 9.75 9.75 12 percent
Balance of Trade -1812.90 191 79.74 65.08 75.16 76.81 ZMK Million
Government Debt to GDP 55.60 40 40 42 42 45 percent
MARKETS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Currency 9.85
10.25 10.53 10.81 11.11 12.37
GDP Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 4.10
percent
4.5 5 4.2 3.8 5
GDP 25.81
USD Billion
28.2 28.2 30.8 30.8 32
GDP Constant Prices 245686.00
ZMW THO
225822 257970 256005 255022 283329
GDP per capita 1646.14
USD
1552 1660 1512 1512 1684
GDP per capita PPP 3689.25
USD
3705 3720 3389 3389 3774
LABOUR Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 7.79
percent
7.6 7.4 7.45 7.5 7.7
Population 17.20
million
17.3 17.3 18 18.17 18.5
Wages High Skilled 8810.00
ZMK/Month
8900 8900 8900 8820 9100
Wages Low Skilled 1760.00
ZMK/Month
1850 1850 1850 1520 1900
Living Wage Family 4090.00
ZMK/Month
4090 4090 5100 4090 5100
Living Wage Individual 2230.00
ZMK/Month
2230 2230 2230 2230 2230
PRICES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Inflation Rate 7.40
percent
8.4 6.1 6.2 7 5.8
Food Inflation 7.50
percent
7.96 8 6.2 6 5
Inflation Rate Mom 0.60
percent
0.72 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74
Cpi Housing Utilities 230.16
Index Points
234 237 241 244 280
CPI Transportation 226.33
Index Points
219 226 236 242 253
Consumer Price Index Cpi 210.35
Index Points
213 213 220 225 239
MONEY Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Interest Rate 9.75
percent
9.75 9.75 9.75 9.75 12
Deposit Interest Rate 8.80
percent
8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 11.05
TRADE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Balance of Trade -1812.90
ZMK Million
191 79.74 65.08 75.16 76.81
Exports 9266.00
ZMK Million
8928 8767 8772 8777 8779
Imports 9021.00
ZMK Million
8737 8685 8707 8702 8703
Current Account -139.20
USD Million
-246 -232 -230 -235 -232
Current Account to GDP -2.30
percent
-3 -3 -2 -2 -1
Terrorism Index 0.00
0 0 0 0 0
Foreign Direct Investment 223.80
USD Million
339 293 288 294 294
External Debt 9208.80
USD Million
8501 8260 7673 7086 1763
Capital Flows -173.80
USD Million
-274 -268 -236 -258 -259
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 55.60
percent
40 40 42 42 45
Government Budget -6.10
percent of GDP
-7.29 -7.54 -7.14 -6.74 -7.82
Military Expenditure 291.00
USD Million
264 246 241 236 183
Government Debt 6851.00
USD Million
6576 6458 6475 6492 3606
BUSINESS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Manufacturing Production 0.40
percent
6.85 6.28 4.52 4.19 4.52
Internet Speed 2303.04
KBps
2329 2240 2267 2308 2280
IP Addresses 248931.00
IP
258813 257487 257535 258013 257880
Mining Production -1.40
percent
2.66 3.57 1.43 1.54 1.7
Industrial Production 2.60
percent
1.22 2.66 1.75 2.03 2.21
Ease of Doing Business 85.00
89 86 86 85 85
Electricity Production 3701.86
Gigawatt-hour
3665 3676 3642 3636 3650
Corruption Index 37.00
Points
37 37 37 37 37
Corruption Rank 96.00
96 99 101 103 112
Competitiveness Index 3.52
Points
3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.24
Competitiveness Rank 118.00
119 119 118 118 118
Composite Pmi 51.90
53.26 52.21 53.32 52.18 52.18
TAXES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 35.00
percent
35 35 35 35 35
Personal Income Tax Rate 37.50
percent
37.5 37.5 38 38 38
Sales Tax Rate 16.00
percent
16 16 16 16 16
Social Security Rate 10.00
percent
10 10 10 10 10
Social Security Rate For Companies 5.00
percent
5 5 5 5 5
Social Security Rate For Employees 5.00
percent
5 5 5 5 5
CLIMATE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Precipitation 164.83
mm
1.28 117 192 78.63 83.44
Temperature 25.21
celsius
19.89 23.71 22.37 21.98 21.82