Tajikistan | Economic Forecasts | 2017-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Tajikistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Tajikistan economy.


Overview Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.50 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 8.10 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 16.00 16 16 16 14 8 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -104.20 -140 -137 -137 -137 -137 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 42 42 42 27.81 37 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Currency 8.82 8.35 8.44 8.68 8.6 9.92 [+]
GDP Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.50 6.9 6.8 6.7 7 6.5 percent [+]
GDP 7.85 9.7 8.06 7.56 7.52 7.13 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 10490.10 30801 28469 28737 28706 28709 TJS Million [+]
GDP per capita 932.90 941 948 955 958 982 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 2661.38 2720 2738 2756 2775 2997 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 22234.00 16814 19721 22628 22726 23808 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Construction 5380.40 5523 5743 5963 6103 8089 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 9366.90 10916 12257 13598 14573 20292 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Services 6637.00 6946 7081 7216 7350 9122 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Transport 6026.10 6178 6114 6050 6054 6095 TJS Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.50 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 55.70 55.68 55.9 55.72 55.9 55.76 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 2237.50 2238 2238 2238 2238 2238 Thousand [+]
Wages 1167.50 1127 1119 1120 1120 1121 TJS/Month [+]
Population 8.70 8.77 8.83 8.89 8.89 9.48 Million [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 1367.94 1334 1356 1384 1413 1725 TJS/Month [+]
Retirement Age Men 63.00 63 63 63 63 63 [+]
Retirement Age Women 58.00 58 58 58 58 58 [+]
PRICES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Inflation Rate 8.10 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.2 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.20 101 101 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 98.60 100 100 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 9.10 4.3 6.89 3.5 7.59 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.20 0.52 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.58 percent [+]
Food Inflation 9.00 9.87 9.82 9.84 9.82 9.83 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Interest Rate 16.00 16 16 16 14 8 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 7824.50 7968 8097 8139 8158 8169 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M1 8796.36 8898 9007 9019 9026 9031 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M2 10092.58 10176 10295 10332 10350 10361 TJS Thousand [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 4.20 4.28 4.14 4 4.04 6.46 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -104.20 -140 -137 -137 -137 -137 USD Million [+]
Exports 76.80 67 76.33 88 76.53 110 USD Million [+]
Imports 181.00 216 216 216 216 345 USD Million [+]
Current Account 152472.50 -90233 50322 -54537 -159432 -59319 USD Thousand [+]
Current Account to GDP -5.90 -5.86 -5.03 -4.19 -4.84 -6.63 percent [+]
Remittances 3638.00 4947 4960 4951 4958 4957 USD Thousand [+]
Gold Reserves 14.43 15.22 15.43 16.2 16.98 22.54 Tonnes [+]
Terrorism Index 3.09 1.83 1.81 1.79 1.85 1.68 [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 BBL/D/1K [+]
External Debt 2194.50 2144 2194 2243 2252 2335 USD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 42 42 42 27.81 37 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.70 -2.24 -2.63 -3.03 -3.28 -5.33 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 2452.60 8619 10242 7859 8208 8479 TJS Million [+]
Military Expenditure 104.30 87.52 88.58 89.65 89.14 90.6 USD Million [+]
Government Budget Value 356.30 160 119 109 109 110 TJS Million [+]
Government Spending 2096.30 7530 9857 7919 7776 8136 TJS Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 2096.30 8497 10162 7898 8182 8442 TJS Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Industrial Production 19.40 16.47 14.14 12.41 11.14 7.67 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 128.00 125 124 122 120 109 [+]
Corruption Index 25.00 24 24 23 23 23 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 151.00 143 144 145 146 148 [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.12 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.15 4.2 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 77.00 75 75 75 75 72 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 6.40 10.29 11.49 12.69 13.72 10.56 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Sales Tax Rate 20.00 20 20 20 20 20 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 26.00 26 26 26 26 26 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 13.00 13 13 13 13 13 percent [+]