Tajikistan | Economic Forecasts | 2017-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Tajikistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Tajikistan economy.


Overview Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.30 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 8.90 7.6 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 16.00 16 16 14 14 8 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -165.90 -136 -137 -137 -137 -137 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 35.30 42 42 40 40 37 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Currency 8.80 8.72 8.63 8.55 8.46 7.49 [+]
GDP Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.00 6.8 6.7 7 7 6.5 percent [+]
GDP 6.95 6.61 6.4 6.39 6.38 6.01 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 24023.80 27758 27437 27465 27463 27463 TJS Million [+]
GDP per capita 968.40 981 992 997 1003 1031 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 2762.60 2812 2838 2865 2893 3095 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 22234.00 19721 22628 22726 22824 23808 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Construction 5380.40 5743 5963 6103 6244 8089 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 9366.90 12257 13598 14573 15548 20292 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Services 6637.00 7081 7216 7350 7484 9122 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Transport 6026.10 6114 6050 6054 6058 6095 TJS Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.30 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 54.00 56.04 55.88 56.03 55.89 55.92 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 2237.50 2238 2238 2238 2238 2238 Thousand [+]
Wages 1323.70 1132 1134 1133 1133 1133 TJS/Month [+]
Population 8.70 8.83 8.89 8.94 8.99 9.48 Million [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 1346.32 1374 1402 1433 1465 1783 TJS/Month [+]
Retirement Age Men 63.00 63 63 63 63 63 [+]
Retirement Age Women 58.00 58 58 58 58 58 [+]
PRICES Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Inflation Rate 8.90 7.6 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.2 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.40 101 101 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 100.00 101 102 103 103 103 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 0.30 11.54 3.5 9.66 9.22 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.40 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 percent [+]
Food Inflation 12.10 12.01 12.01 12.01 12.01 12.01 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Interest Rate 16.00 16 16 14 14 8 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 9337.38 9809 10208 10393 10473 10538 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M1 10266.33 10340 10507 10561 10577 10583 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M2 11635.86 11861 12102 12182 12207 12219 TJS Thousand [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 4.20 4.14 4 4.04 4.08 6.46 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Balance of Trade -165.90 -136 -137 -137 -137 -137 USD Million [+]
Exports 76.40 74.37 88 74.76 74.78 110 USD Million [+]
Imports 242.30 212 212 212 212 345 USD Million [+]
Current Account -27187.30 76475 -31310 -33953 5773 -2995 USD Thousand [+]
Current Account to GDP -3.80 -6 -6 -5 -5 -3 percent [+]
Remittances 3638.00 4960 4951 4958 4957 4957 USD Thousand [+]
Gold Reserves 12.66 13.55 14.22 14.33 14.48 17.62 Tonnes [+]
Terrorism Index 3.09 1.81 1.79 1.85 1.91 1.68 [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.20 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 BBL/D/1K [+]
External Debt 2274.10 2424 2482 2512 2543 2784 USD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 35.30 42 42 40 40 37 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.70 -2.63 -3.03 -3.28 -3.52 -5.33 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 9292.60 8990 7796 8476 8518 8398 TJS Million [+]
Military Expenditure 95.80 84.44 86.83 85.66 84.49 87.94 USD Million [+]
Government Budget Value 503.90 359 306 260 230 160 TJS Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 8788.70 5909 4729 3998 3568 2956 TJS Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Industrial Production 21.30 12.87 11.49 10.49 9.75 7.82 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 128.00 124 122 120 118 109 [+]
Corruption Index 25.00 24 23 23 23 23 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 151.00 144 145 146 147 148 [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.12 4.06 4.06 4.13 4.15 4.2 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 77.00 75 75 75 75 72 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 6.40 11.49 12.69 13.72 14.75 10.56 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 2020
Sales Tax Rate 20.00 20 20 20 20 20 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 26.00 26 26 26 26 26 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 13.00 13 13 13 13 13 percent [+]